Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 12?
closed
Total volume
$500
Trades
41
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-12 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-97.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3
vs crowd: 97% YES on $494)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $178 | $1 | +$177 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $301 | $8 | +$293 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $135 | — | +$135 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $16 | $0 | +$16 |
| Median | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 7 | $282 | $2 | +$280 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $48 | $1 | +$47 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | +184 | $180 | $180 | 4 | 05-12 14:05 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 19:58 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 15:54 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +89 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 14:00 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +77 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-12 14:00 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +55 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 05-12 13:39 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-12 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | No | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:05 |
| Square-Credential 0x8a83…74e9 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | +28 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 05-12 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 19:53 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 15:54 |
| Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 15:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cd0d4… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2cd0d4… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cd0d4… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55137c… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Square-Credential 0x8a83…74e9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x55137c… |
| 05-12 19:58:27 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4277a8… |
| 05-12 19:58:27 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4277a8… |
| 05-12 19:58:27 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4277a8… |
| 05-12 19:53:40 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4cac9… |
| 05-12 19:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xb4cac9… |
| 05-12 15:54:47 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x15e353… |
| 05-12 15:54:47 | Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x15e353… |
| 05-12 15:54:47 | Grateful-Chance 0xb82e…5278 | No | SELL | 136 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x15e353… |
| 05-12 15:54:47 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15e353… |
| 05-12 15:54:47 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x15e353… |
| 05-12 15:54:47 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x15e353… |
| 05-12 14:05:18 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0x0ff469… |
| 05-12 14:05:18 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | No | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0ff469… |
| 05-12 14:00:59 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 77 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x410101… |
| 05-12 14:00:59 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 77 | 97¢ | $75 | 0x410101… |
| 05-12 13:39:46 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x407f7e… |
| 05-12 13:39:46 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x407f7e… |
| 05-12 13:39:39 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9dbd76… |
| 05-12 13:39:39 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9dbd76… |
| 05-12 12:54:01 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9f423f… |
| 05-12 12:54:01 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x9f423f… |
| 05-12 12:54:01 | Grateful-Chance 0xb82e…5278 | No | BUY | 136 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x9f423f… |
| 05-12 12:54:01 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | SELL | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9f423f… |
| 05-12 12:08:18 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x51e81f… |
| 05-12 12:08:18 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51e81f… |
| 05-12 10:12:45 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4f8fe1… |
| 05-12 10:12:45 | Handmade-Factor 0x28d6…ae27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4f8fe1… |
| 05-12 10:10:44 | Handmade-Factor 0x28d6…ae27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xab230a… |
| 05-12 10:10:44 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab230a… |
| 05-12 09:05:21 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb643f0… |
| 05-12 09:05:21 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb643f0… |
| 05-12 09:05:14 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd96a02… |
| 05-12 09:05:14 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd96a02… |
| 05-12 09:05:14 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd96a02… |
| 05-12 09:05:01 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xba654a… |
| 05-12 09:05:01 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xba654a… |