Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$675
$2 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$338
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-14 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.1¢
(top1%: 78% YES on $165
vs crowd: 93% YES on $665)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $283 | $36 | +$248 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $35 | $2 | +$33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $295 | $6 | +$289 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $8 | $0 | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $130 | $36 | +$94 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $181 | — | +$181 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 6 | $86 | — | +$86 |
| Below median | 3 | $12 | $0 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $59 | $0 | +$59 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $154 | $1 | +$152 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | +195 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 15:39 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +187 | $151 | $151 | 2 | 05-14 14:00 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +187 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-14 14:00 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +154 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +135 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 05-14 15:39 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +105 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-14 15:39 |
| Outstanding-Cob 0x83e8…b9bc | Yes | +59 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-14 19:17 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Suspicious-Ticket 0xca07…b05b | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 08:18 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:18 |
| Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 19:58 |
| Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:45 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:30 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 14:49 |
| Caring-Liner 0xb9e1…a3f4 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:49 |
| Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:00:08 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb401bb… |
| 05-14 20:00:08 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb401bb… |
| 05-14 20:00:08 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0xb401bb… |
| 05-14 20:00:08 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb401bb… |
| 05-14 20:00:01 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb97e68… |
| 05-14 20:00:01 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb97e68… |
| 05-14 19:58:23 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9eb87d… |
| 05-14 19:58:23 | Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9eb87d… |
| 05-14 19:45:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e18bd… |
| 05-14 19:45:02 | Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8e18bd… |
| 05-14 19:30:02 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb178f0… |
| 05-14 19:30:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb178f0… |
| 05-14 19:17:05 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xf910bf… |
| 05-14 19:17:05 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf910bf… |
| 05-14 19:17:05 | Outstanding-Cob 0x83e8…b9bc | Yes | BUY | 59 | 100¢ | $59 | 0xf910bf… |
| 05-14 15:39:15 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb093ee… |
| 05-14 15:39:15 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 135 | 96¢ | $130 | 0x44d90a… |
| 05-14 15:39:15 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb093ee… |
| 05-14 15:39:15 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 195 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x44d90a… |
| 05-14 15:39:15 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x44d90a… |
| 05-14 14:49:47 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xefc590… |
| 05-14 14:49:47 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xefc590… |
| 05-14 14:49:47 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xefc590… |
| 05-14 14:00:47 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 97 | 78¢ | $76 | 0xf9d9a1… |
| 05-14 14:00:47 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 97 | 22¢ | $21 | 0xf9d9a1… |
| 05-14 13:33:23 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 90 | 16¢ | $14 | 0xd33e2c… |
| 05-14 13:33:23 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 90 | 84¢ | $76 | 0xd33e2c… |
| 05-14 08:18:58 | Suspicious-Ticket 0xca07…b05b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x420257… |
| 05-14 08:18:58 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x420257… |
| 05-14 03:49:48 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x35c671… |
| 05-14 03:49:48 | Caring-Liner 0xb9e1…a3f4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x35c671… |