Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 8?
open
Total volume
$304
$1,148 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$5,547
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 14:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $200 | $200 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | — | $104 | $104 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $109 | $109 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $159 | $159 |
| Median | 5 | — | $31 | $31 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-07 01:32 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +71 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 05-08 11:34 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 05:33 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 14:25:11 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd8bae9… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x601d7e… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5ccc75… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d5c11… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xdf27d2… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fd510… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x06c2df… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x559beb… |
| 05-08 12:49:38 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec105a… |
| 05-08 12:49:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc10cd0… |
| 05-08 12:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x914047… |
| 05-08 11:34:43 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x4d1f0b… |
| 05-08 11:34:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1871a… |
| 05-08 10:00:28 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x6b67ed… |
| 05-08 09:40:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x635553… |
| 05-08 05:33:50 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdd3320… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a622c… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc3418… |
| 05-07 21:36:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ec374… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfa0288… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x40c301… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f03ce… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c5c9a… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5290c7… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8437d7… |
| 05-07 11:16:03 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9e61a4… |
| 05-07 01:32:50 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb094a5… |