Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in May?
Yes won
Total volume
$850
Trades
34
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-03
last 05-05 15:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-94.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $20
vs crowd: 94% YES on $839)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $359 | $39 | +$319 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $232 | — | +$232 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $198 | $6 | +$192 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $367 | $1 | +$366 |
| Median | 1 | $198 | — | +$198 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $155 | $2 | +$153 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $69 | $19 | +$49 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | +212 | $169 | $169 | 7 | 05-05 14:23 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-05 14:49 |
| Oily-Cheek 0xe3bb…fce3 | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 14:49 |
| Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | +198 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-05 15:46 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | +161 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-05 14:41 |
| Loud-Quality 0xea1c…4daf | Yes | +157 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 05-05 14:41 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 15:46 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 14:18 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +65 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 05-05 14:34 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 15:46 |
| Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | +42 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-05 15:46 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +38 | $15 | $24 | 4 | 05-05 14:24 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-04 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 15:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 15:46:14 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea60a… |
| 05-05 15:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea60a… |
| 05-05 15:46:14 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 198 | 100¢ | $198 | 0x4ea60a… |
| 05-05 15:46:14 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea60a… |
| 05-05 15:46:14 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea60a… |
| 05-05 14:49:02 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x0a27e9… |
| 05-05 14:49:02 | Oily-Cheek 0xe3bb…fce3 | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x0a27e9… |
| 05-05 14:41:58 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa712f2… |
| 05-05 14:41:58 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa712f2… |
| 05-05 14:41:58 | Loud-Quality 0xea1c…4daf | Yes | BUY | 157 | 99¢ | $155 | 0xa712f2… |
| 05-05 14:34:42 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3a57f9… |
| 05-05 14:34:42 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x3a57f9… |
| 05-05 14:34:42 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3a57f9… |
| 05-05 14:24:00 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 54 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xf3ac0e… |
| 05-05 14:24:00 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | No | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf3ac0e… |
| 05-05 14:24:00 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf3ac0e… |
| 05-05 14:23:30 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x60b6be… |
| 05-05 14:23:30 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x60b6be… |
| 05-05 14:23:20 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x18ddbb… |
| 05-05 14:23:20 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x18ddbb… |
| 05-05 14:19:02 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 27 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x48c8fc… |
| 05-05 14:19:02 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 79¢ | $21 | 0x48c8fc… |
| 05-05 14:18:48 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 32 | 21¢ | $7 | 0x986a46… |
| 05-05 14:18:48 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 79¢ | $26 | 0x986a46… |
| 05-05 14:18:34 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 32 | 21¢ | $7 | 0x1a12fc… |
| 05-05 14:18:34 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 79¢ | $26 | 0x1a12fc… |
| 05-05 14:18:32 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x710c74… |
| 05-05 14:18:32 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x710c74… |
| 05-05 14:18:22 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xa135a3… |
| 05-05 14:18:22 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xa135a3… |
| 05-04 04:29:26 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x3cce09… |
| 05-04 04:29:26 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x3cce09… |
| 05-03 22:11:02 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x5c3911… |
| 05-03 22:11:02 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x5c3911… |