Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,244,000 and $1,262,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$199
Trades
41
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-02
last 04-28 05:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 24% YES on $138)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $9 | $52 | $43 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $4 | $34 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $20 | — | +$20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $9 | $42 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 3 | $23 | $34 | $11 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | +43 | $29 | $38 | 4 | 04-27 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x041f…e229 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-28 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 04-24 12:30 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-02 23:47 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +11 | $-2 | $4 | 7 | 04-28 05:18 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-28 05:18 |
| Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-04 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-02 23:50 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| Ethical-Carrier 0xf571…d2dc | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-28 05:16 |
| Studious-Pressroom 0xd995…a618 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-07 13:15 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 23:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 05:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x041f…e229 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd08af7… |
| 04-28 05:18:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd08af7… |
| 04-28 05:18:18 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd08af7… |
| 04-28 05:18:18 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd08af7… |
| 04-28 05:16:50 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe75132… |
| 04-28 05:16:50 | Ethical-Carrier 0xf571…d2dc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe75132… |
| 04-27 00:48:46 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xa623e2… |
| 04-27 00:48:46 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa623e2… |
| 04-24 23:34:52 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x51c71e… |
| 04-24 23:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 16 | 70¢ | $11 | 0x51c71e… |
| 04-24 23:34:26 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 16 | 70¢ | $11 | 0xc49971… |
| 04-24 23:34:26 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xc49971… |
| 04-24 23:33:32 | Glorious-Pretzel 0x2b24…1586 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x39d35f… |
| 04-24 23:33:32 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 16 | 70¢ | $11 | 0x39d35f… |
| 04-24 12:30:38 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xbafc53… |
| 04-24 12:30:38 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xbafc53… |
| 04-20 14:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x64cd45… |
| 04-20 14:26:16 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x64cd45… |
| 04-20 14:25:46 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xf60adf… |
| 04-20 14:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xf60adf… |
| 04-17 12:32:32 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x82f687… |
| 04-17 12:32:32 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x82f687… |
| 04-07 13:15:29 | Studious-Pressroom 0xd995…a618 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x260714… |
| 04-07 13:15:29 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x260714… |
| 04-04 23:30:41 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86acd9… |
| 04-04 23:30:41 | Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86acd9… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xab64cb… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab64cb… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab64cb… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc9c497… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc9c497… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc9c497… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x70e1e5… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x70e1e5… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x88b8b8… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x88b8b8… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x77d4a0… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x77d4a0… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x77d4a0… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x54517f… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x54517f… |