Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 11?
open
Total volume
$383
$1,871 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,042
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 18:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $32 | $336 | $304 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $35 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $84 | $82 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $21 | $19 |
| Below median | 10 | $0 | $140 | $140 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $12 | $50 | $37 |
| unranked | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +129 | $10 | $14 | 9 | 05-11 13:17 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +99 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 18:25 |
| Harmful-Flugelhorn 0x3d41…e3dd | No | +61 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-11 17:13 |
| Negative-Catalogue 0x1f12…9424 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 13:13 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +51 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Fragrant-Licensing 0x9b7c…7f28 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-11 18:47 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-10 08:01 |
| Wiggly-Pack 0x7f41…b3a3 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +38 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-11 02:00 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +33 | $31 | $44 | 2 | 05-11 02:35 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:46 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 01:03 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 05-11 02:16 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 11:31 |
| Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:29 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf074…7788 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:41 |
| Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c0a…3052 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 18:47 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:00 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x9c0a…3052 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfad042… |
| 05-11 18:47:14 | Fragrant-Licensing 0x9b7c…7f28 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xd30a77… |
| 05-11 18:25:09 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x83a55e… |
| 05-11 17:13:28 | Harmful-Flugelhorn 0x3d41…e3dd | No | BUY | 61 | 92¢ | $57 | 0x3401c1… |
| 05-11 17:11:51 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xce4b15… |
| 05-11 16:00:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbdd5da… |
| 05-11 13:17:42 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x902135… |
| 05-11 13:17:41 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x59d424… |
| 05-11 13:13:30 | Negative-Catalogue 0x1f12…9424 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x69dde7… |
| 05-11 08:20:18 | Delightful-Thanks 0x75b0…e7b7 | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xd44ffa… |
| 05-11 04:18:07 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x280639… |
| 05-11 04:14:25 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x409ddd… |
| 05-11 04:14:23 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfff8e5… |
| 05-11 04:12:30 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x129943… |
| 05-11 02:41:09 | (anonymous) 0xf074…7788 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa1a691… |
| 05-11 02:35:27 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x5d4f4b… |
| 05-11 02:35:12 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xee3339… |
| 05-11 02:16:00 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x35bd93… |
| 05-11 02:15:58 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x2defcb… |
| 05-11 02:15:58 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdb4e02… |
| 05-11 02:15:55 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x19b951… |
| 05-11 02:15:37 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2b648f… |
| 05-11 02:15:37 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 26 | 93¢ | $24 | 0x8b09ab… |
| 05-11 02:15:37 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xdcf584… |
| 05-11 02:15:37 | Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x7aee44… |
| 05-11 02:15:37 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x5131e3… |
| 05-11 02:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3cdf0a… |
| 05-11 02:00:22 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x5512ee… |
| 05-11 02:00:22 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0xa30615… |
| 05-11 02:00:22 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 38 | 93¢ | $35 | 0x474f43… |
| 05-11 02:00:22 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3173aa… |
| 05-11 02:00:22 | Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x735fab… |
| 05-10 23:41:25 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1c7ed9… |
| 05-10 23:37:46 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xca410a… |
| 05-10 22:46:37 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4af696… |
| 05-10 11:31:49 | Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x67b1fb… |
| 05-10 11:31:07 | Realistic-Switch-Bunch 0xdfb1…baff | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9523f0… |
| 05-10 08:29:47 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x30d62d… |
| 05-10 08:01:35 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x0e4ca1… |
| 05-10 05:43:18 | Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x69fb2e… |
| 05-10 01:03:13 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xcd1d2a… |
| 05-10 00:09:19 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb14297… |
| 05-09 13:58:22 | Wiggly-Pack 0x7f41…b3a3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xb0177e… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f313f… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x634fd0… |
| 05-09 09:50:00 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd3447… |