Fragrant-Licensing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$392

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-11 06:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 18% $-392

Other

35% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$495	1,494	1,494	+0	Up	+$97	05-08 18:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	8	$474	276	274	+2	open	—	04-25 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	6	$321	5,742	5,742	+0	Up	$-153	05-05 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	4	$246	4,469	4,469	+0	Yes	$-72	05-05 14:32
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	2	$92	4,548	4,548	+0	No	$-26	05-05 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	4	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	04-26 18:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	7	$83	524	524	+0	No	$-13	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$75	336	0	+336	Up	$-75	05-09 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	6	$64	370	355	+15	open	—	04-25 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$60	1,714	0	+1,714	Up	$-60	05-11 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 28?	1	$48	54	0	+54	open	—	04-28 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	4	$40	833	817	+16	open	—	04-27 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	4	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	04-26 18:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	5	$32	833	798	+35	open	—	04-27 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 14:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	4	$23	74	74	+0	No	$-7	05-05 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	1	$23	2,198	0	+2,198	Yes	$-23	05-11 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$22	400	0	+400	Up	$-22	05-09 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-26 18:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$19	34	34	+0	No	+$5	05-05 14:32
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	2	$11	31	31	+0	No	+$1	05-05 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	250	0	+250	Down	$-10	05-08 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$10	500	0	+500	Down	$-10	05-09 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$7	177	0	+177	Down	$-7	05-09 06:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	2	$7	808	808	+0	No	$-3	05-05 14:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$6	283	0	+283	Down	$-6	05-09 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$4	69	0	+69	Down	$-4	05-09 06:18
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$3	75	0	+75	Down	$-3	05-09 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$2	33	33	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 06:54
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$1	32	0	+32	Down	$-1	05-09 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 06:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa57089…
05-11 06:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x824348…
05-11 05:54:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2,198	1¢	$23	0xd7ef49…
05-09 16:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4a6e1c…
05-09 16:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x216af1…
05-09 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x81a6a3…
05-09 12:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x8a30ee…
05-09 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	189	26¢	$50	0x2525f5…
05-09 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x734d43…
05-09 06:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x86ab81…
05-09 06:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa6b6c0…
05-09 06:37:20	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3c609b…
05-09 06:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xeeaf44…
05-09 06:37:18	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3e10f8…
05-09 06:37:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xfa6328…
05-09 06:37:15	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x625f0c…
05-09 06:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xca58d5…
05-09 06:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7f7272…
05-09 06:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x024669…
05-09 06:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x549be0…
05-09 06:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3cedc2…
05-09 06:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3811fc…
05-09 06:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0b7fe7…
05-09 06:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa83ef7…
05-08 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x8f29d9…
05-08 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	301	10¢	$29	0x831edb…
05-08 18:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	259	9¢	$23	0x1c5630…
05-08 18:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	187	35¢	$66	0x645e69…
05-08 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	747	24¢	$178	0x5e7748…
05-08 18:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,494	13¢	$199	0x1bf198…
05-05 15:39:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	74	11¢	$8	0x3723b0…
05-05 15:39:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	475	6¢	$29	0x709bb2…
05-05 15:24:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xc816bc…
05-05 15:24:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0x9dc290…
05-05 15:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	79	11¢	$8	0x66c062…
05-05 15:05:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd29af7…
05-05 15:05:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xac3c79…
05-05 15:05:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x87a6ab…
05-05 14:50:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	198	4¢	$9	0xecbce1…
05-05 14:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	808	0¢	$2	0x0436be…
05-05 14:33:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	49	13¢	$6	0x7ab6e3…
05-05 14:33:22	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0x238715…
05-05 14:32:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0x59a2b9…
05-05 14:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	4,826	1¢	$45	0x67356a…
05-05 14:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	3,396	1¢	$36	0xf3b50c…
05-05 14:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	4,827	4¢	$178	0xd53c15…
05-05 14:27:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	3,396	3¢	$98	0x31c1a2…
05-05 14:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	538	4¢	$19	0xe78221…
05-05 14:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	377	5¢	$19	0xe13b1b…
05-05 14:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	1,073	5¢	$51	0xa1ce0c…
05-05 14:21:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	4,548	1¢	$33	0x0d674e…
05-05 14:17:22	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	4,548	1¢	$59	0x8bcff4…
05-05 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	884	6¢	$54	0x536ff9…
05-05 14:16:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,073	6¢	$61	0x1c95cb…
05-05 11:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x565a2b…
05-05 11:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x489f47…
05-05 11:14:46	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x020a24…
05-05 10:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	808	1¢	$5	0xd3f1d0…
05-05 09:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0x19a70f…
04-28 10:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 28?	No	BUY	54	90¢	$48	0xc95045…
04-27 17:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	No	SELL	817	0¢	$1	0x5fb103…
04-27 17:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	798	0¢	$2	0x6a2c58…
04-27 16:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0x538dc4…
04-27 16:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf67012…
04-27 16:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x93d57e…
04-27 16:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	734	3¢	$24	0xefe600…
04-27 16:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	458	6¢	$27	0xd7e797…
04-27 16:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x367714…
04-27 16:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	330	2¢	$8	0xfe8af9…
04-27 14:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb1d7c0…
04-26 18:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x03a541…
04-26 18:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc7ad00…
04-26 18:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xafa68d…
04-26 12:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xfbbb8a…
04-26 12:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x750058…
04-26 12:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$23	0x941246…
04-26 11:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd39fe4…
04-26 11:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1cabcf…
04-26 11:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xc57a83…
04-26 11:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0fabfe…
04-25 17:36:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0x015616…
04-25 17:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	SELL	355	0¢	$0	0x0b808f…
04-25 15:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	196	22¢	$44	0x283b24…
04-25 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$10	0x4e7072…
04-25 15:25:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0xc947e7…
04-25 15:24:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x0456a0…
04-25 15:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	111	14¢	$15	0xf7cff7…
04-25 15:22:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	33	65¢	$21	0xa2bceb…
04-25 15:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xd23c5b…
04-25 15:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x816bc6…
04-25 15:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0d2ab3…
04-25 15:11:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x1d4039…
04-25 15:06:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x04a690…
04-25 14:56:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x7830d2…