Fragrant-Licensing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

184

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-13 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

87% 61% -$1,564

Crypto

13% 16% -$412

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 2?	6	$811	11,135	232	+10,903	No	-$509	05-02 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	4	$518	1,235	0	+1,235	Yes	-$518	05-10 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$495	1,494	1,494	+0	Up	+$97	05-08 18:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	8	$474	276	274	+2	No	+$75	04-25 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	2	$356	180	180	+0	No	+$4	05-10 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	6	$321	5,742	5,742	+0	Up	-$153	05-05 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	4	$246	4,469	4,469	+0	Yes	-$72	05-05 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 8?	11	$241	562	0	+562	Yes	-$241	05-08 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 7?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	05-08 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 10?	2	$202	219	219	+0	Yes	-$198	05-10 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 7?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	05-08 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 6?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	05-06 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 8?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	05-08 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 8?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	05-08 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	05-09 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	05-06 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 9?	1	$200	215	0	+215	No	+$15	05-09 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 9?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	05-09 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 7?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	05-07 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 7?	4	$168	118	118	+0	No	+$6	05-08 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 7?	2	$127	67	67	+0	No	+$7	05-08 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	3	$104	53	53	+0	No	+$2	04-30 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 2?	2	$102	112	0	+112	No	+$9	05-02 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on April 30?	3	$102	53	52	+0	No	+$2	04-30 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 28?	2	$101	54	53	+0	No	+$5	04-28 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 30?	2	$101	82	82	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?	2	$100	132	132	+0	Yes	-$100	05-02 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 1?	2	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-01 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 7?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-07 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 4?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	05-04 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xea71fe…
05-13 06:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5159ab…
05-13 06:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xac4630…
05-13 06:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x0bf98a…
05-13 06:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0xe60a82…
05-13 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9e4ec1…
05-13 06:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x1f76fc…
05-13 06:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x8a903c…
05-13 05:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x806902…
05-13 02:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	No	BUY	51	81¢	$41	0x509485…
05-13 02:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x754ccf…
05-13 02:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 13?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xc6a5a1…
05-13 02:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xb0d1c7…
05-13 02:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0x7c5507…
05-13 02:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x7a8e3e…
05-13 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xaef572…
05-13 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x790da3…
05-13 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0x400a2d…
05-13 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3a3ac7…
05-13 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x228653…
05-13 02:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$8	0x11927c…
05-13 01:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb504c3…
05-13 01:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb18ed5…
05-13 01:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x353bb0…
05-13 01:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7bc201…
05-13 01:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4,950	0¢	$5	0x5c616e…
05-12 17:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc46f90…
05-12 17:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x5cd4d1…
05-12 17:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x476d92…
05-12 16:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb61df6…
05-12 16:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7508b2…
05-12 16:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5cf8b8…
05-12 05:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x290699…
05-12 05:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xab3515…
05-12 05:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x26cfc5…
05-12 02:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0xe641d8…
05-12 02:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x76ac4b…
05-12 02:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x06c632…
05-12 02:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xccc70a…
05-12 02:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xad73b9…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xd2e293…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xc9bd7f…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc60fc9…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8e4f03…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x465970…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x3f20b1…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2ee3ff…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x2a09f3…
05-12 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x0ca53e…
05-12 01:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4,950	0¢	$5	0xce4814…
05-12 01:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4,950	0¢	$5	0x74598c…
05-12 01:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4,070	0¢	$5	0x150c94…
05-11 22:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xdd0efb…
05-11 22:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2ad9be…
05-11 18:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 11?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd30a77…
05-11 17:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xc92232…
05-11 17:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6e592d…
05-11 17:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2c7835…
05-11 15:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x96b2a6…
05-11 15:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x240550…
05-11 15:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0xb22f4a…
05-11 15:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x79ff15…
05-11 15:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x4dafed…
05-11 14:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 11?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x1b862a…
05-11 14:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 11?	No	BUY	64	77¢	$49	0x0880f6…
05-11 14:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	306	13¢	$41	0xf93bf6…
05-11 14:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xf722e6…
05-11 13:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb7875f…
05-11 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe30eb7…
05-11 08:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xcf96e9…
05-11 08:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 11?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$49	0xad419b…
05-11 08:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x6e97f4…
05-11 08:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xfdd43a…
05-11 08:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xb4b44f…
05-11 08:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x449e24…
05-11 08:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0xba6cc8…
05-11 06:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa57089…
05-11 06:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x824348…
05-11 05:54:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2,198	1¢	$23	0xd7ef49…
05-11 04:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 11?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x82b5ce…
05-11 02:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 11?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0x92033e…
05-10 12:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1e1503…
05-10 08:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 10?	No	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x8f6b3a…
05-10 08:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0x0ff0a7…
05-10 08:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0xe9afb5…
05-10 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xcc5e53…
05-10 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8238da…
05-10 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x008660…
05-10 08:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xcda13d…
05-10 08:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdc5b40…
05-10 08:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x8e1c82…
05-10 08:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xad6e34…
05-10 08:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6b3a74…
05-10 08:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8a2d9d…
05-10 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x1cb5c4…
05-10 08:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	188	5¢	$9	0x052c29…
05-10 07:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	No	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0xb4cedb…
05-10 07:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x4db207…
05-10 07:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?	No	BUY	412	4¢	$15	0x94b3de…
05-10 07:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 10?	No	SELL	219	1¢	$2	0xb1ed99…