Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$420
$1,162 in 24h
Trades
59
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$410
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
58¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 09:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $71 | $202 | $131 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $11 | $110 | $98 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $10 | $85 | $75 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| Below median | 13 | $11 | $60 | $49 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $14 | $11 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 2 | $15 | $5 | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +108 | $80 | $80 | 4 | 05-10 08:13 |
| Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | +77 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 05-09 20:42 |
| Fluffy-Dinosaur 0xb8f4…f04c | No | +64 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Secondary-Shock 0xf0f8…fcf6 | Yes | +37 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 08:14 |
| Icy-Footprint 0xcd54…5749 | Yes | +36 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 09:57 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 04:43 |
| Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 09:45 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 21:44 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:31 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-08 05:23 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +19 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:11 |
| Instructive-Enclosure 0x29bc…e100 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:12 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 05:24 |
| Important-Baritone 0x6424…2718 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 00:35 |
| Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:23 |
| Creative-Tolerant 0x3fec…bc11 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:23 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 08:54 |
| Altruistic-Likeness 0xbbcb…c018 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:31 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:20 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:07 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Stingy-Immigrant 0x2eb9…771a | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:32 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Idle-Lychee 0xe9bc…a5ba | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:57:21 | Icy-Footprint 0xcd54…5749 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 42¢ | $15 | 0x2cff5d… |
| 05-10 09:45:00 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xec0159… |
| 05-10 09:42:21 | Respectful-Altitude 0xb4a0…9d29 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xb9d290… |
| 05-10 09:24:46 | Fluffy-Dinosaur 0xb8f4…f04c | No | BUY | 64 | 78¢ | $50 | 0x1c0187… |
| 05-10 08:47:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x118aae… |
| 05-10 08:13:10 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 18 | 74¢ | $13 | 0x73e9b3… |
| 05-10 08:12:40 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xb22041… |
| 05-10 08:12:40 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | SELL | 0 | 71¢ | $0 | 0x4394c9… |
| 05-10 08:12:36 | Instructive-Enclosure 0x29bc…e100 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xa4a7c9… |
| 05-10 08:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x32e0…3884 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x5d9f68… |
| 05-10 08:07:48 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | SELL | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x671480… |
| 05-10 08:07:48 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | SELL | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x79b361… |
| 05-10 08:07:44 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x1a50ab… |
| 05-10 08:04:35 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | SELL | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x7bcf06… |
| 05-10 08:04:33 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | SELL | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x306327… |
| 05-10 08:04:30 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x287326… |
| 05-10 08:04:28 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | SELL | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0xe9747a… |
| 05-10 08:04:26 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x63f758… |
| 05-10 08:04:23 | Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xab7dc6… |
| 05-10 07:56:51 | Courageous-Stumbling 0xaf38…c19e | Yes | SELL | 70 | 28¢ | $20 | 0x631269… |
| 05-10 07:26:51 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xdcd6de… |
| 05-10 07:26:47 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xe0a025… |
| 05-10 07:23:36 | Creative-Tolerant 0x3fec…bc11 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x879fbe… |
| 05-10 07:08:21 | Wet-Following 0xcd90…4bfc | Yes | SELL | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x35fdcf… |
| 05-10 07:03:15 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x956684… |
| 05-10 05:31:26 | Altruistic-Likeness 0xbbcb…c018 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x7d79c4… |
| 05-10 04:43:52 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0xd7c341… |
| 05-10 04:32:05 | Stingy-Immigrant 0x2eb9…771a | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x2f5ce6… |
| 05-10 03:25:00 | Idle-Lychee 0xe9bc…a5ba | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x218ac9… |
| 05-10 02:00:58 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x994e62… |
| 05-10 02:00:56 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x172e04… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 19 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x362e78… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x9a986f… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x313e34… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0aa63b… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x9f5745… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x2f845b… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x79ba0a… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xc729c6… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 80 | 75¢ | $60 | 0x865919… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe6b769… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x4f297a… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Important-Baritone 0x6424…2718 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xe96ee4… |
| 05-09 23:01:16 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x934c3d… |
| 05-09 21:44:58 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x7c6593… |
| 05-09 20:42:31 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 26 | 64¢ | $17 | 0x3b25aa… |
| 05-09 19:12:54 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xe4fafd… |
| 05-09 18:31:29 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 27 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x15bffc… |
| 05-09 15:52:38 | Querulous-Geometry 0x48a0…f156 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x348d46… |
| 05-09 10:39:49 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 25 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xdfcdec… |
| 05-09 10:20:03 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x20d7ff… |
| 05-09 08:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x83b5…7ca1 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x249229… |
| 05-09 08:39:39 | Both-Scraper 0x8961…ab1a | No | BUY | 26 | 74¢ | $19 | 0x27bc5e… |
| 05-09 05:24:46 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xbcf24a… |
| 05-09 05:19:31 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x01f9fa… |
| 05-09 00:35:31 | Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x83f1ce… |
| 05-08 08:14:57 | Secondary-Shock 0xf0f8…fcf6 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 22¢ | $8 | 0x7c0e7b… |
| 05-08 05:23:36 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xb2456d… |
| 05-08 05:23:27 | Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x93a5ad… |