Secondary-Shock 0xf0f871…6afcf6
11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$257
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
324
Trades
790
lifetime
Volume
$17.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.73K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 09-17 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
62% 67% -$481
Politics
32% 98% +$37
Crypto
6% 70% +$417
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,029 $647 96¢ $987 +$340 05-24 13:27
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +541 $370 100¢ $540 +$170 05-23 00:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +435 $276 78¢ $340 +$64 05-26 13:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +879 $287 22¢ $191 -$96 06-05 10:15
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$3 09-14 17:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$2 09-14 17:52
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +102 $99 99¢ $101 +$2 09-14 17:52
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +103 $100 98¢ $101 +$1 09-17 00:58
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +104 $100 93¢ $97 -$3 09-16 20:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,271 $744 4¢ $92 -$652 05-24 21:52
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +39 $38 97¢ $38 +$0 09-14 17:52
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 97¢ $15 $0 09-16 20:39
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 05-17 09:14
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 09-17 05:18
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 08-05 06:14
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $88 0¢ $0 -$88 05-17 07:42