Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$663
$2,666 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$752
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 12:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $177 | $19 | +$158 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $273 | $40 | +$232 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $167 | $32 | +$135 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $78 | — | +$78 |
| Median | 6 | $52 | $10 | +$42 |
| Below median | 5 | $22 | $1 | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $72 | $17 | +$55 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $58 | — | +$58 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $0 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +155 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 00:58 |
| Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | +64 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-12 21:43 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +50 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-12 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | +46 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | +45 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +38 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 21:10 |
| Sinful-Brood 0x957f…aee0 | Yes | +38 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-12 22:51 |
| Polished-Construction 0x57ae…3b7c | Yes | +32 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c87…f92b | Yes | +29 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-12 23:46 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +27 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 05-13 05:08 |
| Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 02:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | Yes | +25 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 05-12 21:36 |
| Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 12:03 |
| Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:51 |
| Tiny-Manipulation 0x802b…8b03 | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:28 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 21:10 |
| Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 21:40 |
| Delicious-Mean 0xdd33…5452 | Yes | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 21:01 |
| Outlandish-Anxiety 0xa11e…1b2d | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 09:54 |
| Hairy-Geranium-Disconnection 0x27d7…12c7 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 23:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e1c…7fc3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 06:13 |
| Well-Worn-Dressing 0x0029…6e04 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 12:03:15 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9e500e… |
| 05-13 09:54:39 | Outlandish-Anxiety 0xa11e…1b2d | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22474c… |
| 05-13 07:39:49 | Straight-Whisper 0x6e31…ba75 | No | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2b10… |
| 05-13 06:13:27 | (anonymous) 0x5e1c…7fc3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x29f027… |
| 05-13 05:19:00 | (anonymous) 0xf13b…db8d | Yes | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xd0a53d… |
| 05-13 05:08:42 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb56d18… |
| 05-13 04:22:09 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xc6b166… |
| 05-13 04:16:19 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xf445ed… |
| 05-13 03:33:02 | Academic-Abbreviation 0x7f21…fd1c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x22b896… |
| 05-13 03:13:09 | Chief-Driveway 0x1d30…91d6 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0x64b085… |
| 05-13 03:08:57 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x60db45… |
| 05-13 02:52:09 | Chief-Driveway 0x1d30…91d6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x1ec7be… |
| 05-13 02:41:26 | Well-Worn-Dressing 0x0029…6e04 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1689ec… |
| 05-13 02:03:14 | Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x2350c2… |
| 05-13 01:48:53 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x97df75… |
| 05-13 01:28:02 | Tiny-Manipulation 0x802b…8b03 | No | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x34a3a0… |
| 05-13 01:00:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x779873… |
| 05-13 00:58:01 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 97¢ | $150 | 0x02af69… |
| 05-13 00:36:31 | Polished-Construction 0x57ae…3b7c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xe1031f… |
| 05-13 00:28:44 | Polished-Construction 0x57ae…3b7c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x02e9ed… |
| 05-12 23:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c87…f92b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc6f8c4… |
| 05-12 23:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c87…f92b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x035440… |
| 05-12 23:38:15 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0xf092be… |
| 05-12 23:37:05 | Hairy-Geranium-Disconnection 0x27d7…12c7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x91a147… |
| 05-12 22:51:54 | Sinful-Brood 0x957f…aee0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xc134b4… |
| 05-12 22:33:12 | Sinful-Brood 0x957f…aee0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x4fd7a8… |
| 05-12 22:31:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x4bcc00… |
| 05-12 21:43:11 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 17 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x5e61c4… |
| 05-12 21:40:47 | Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x833ac6… |
| 05-12 21:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x2a8b98… |
| 05-12 21:36:35 | (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x02d660… |
| 05-12 21:35:52 | (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xded092… |
| 05-12 21:10:41 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 35 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x2c4b77… |
| 05-12 21:10:41 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 15 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xd02af2… |
| 05-12 21:01:06 | Delicious-Mean 0xdd33…5452 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x571a65… |
| 05-12 20:55:09 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x0f561e… |
| 05-12 20:55:03 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x58cd6c… |
| 05-12 20:55:03 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 47 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xf6274a… |
| 05-12 17:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xf13b…db8d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x905191… |
| 05-12 00:08:21 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xacc3f7… |
| 05-12 00:08:21 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 43¢ | $10 | 0xfe574c… |
| 05-11 23:51:04 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x2d3544… |
| 05-11 23:08:01 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 32 | 36¢ | $12 | 0xfe9c9e… |
| 05-11 23:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 42¢ | $10 | 0xd9affe… |