Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$633
$206 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$64
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-15 04:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $121 | $4 | +$117 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $391 | $4 | +$386 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $47 | — | +$47 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $82 | — | +$82 |
| Median | 7 | $291 | $5 | +$286 |
| Below median | 6 | $42 | $4 | +$38 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy-Plight 0x80e6…09e2 | Yes | +270 | $259 | $259 | 1 | 05-15 03:43 |
| Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | Yes | +82 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 05-15 04:07 |
| Stingy-Corporal 0xadaa…875a | Yes | +47 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 05-15 02:18 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +44 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-15 03:05 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +27 | $27 | $33 | 2 | 05-14 15:26 |
| Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 03:53 |
| Uneven-Boutique 0x7b47…f1f5 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 08:41 |
| Querulous-Geometry 0x48a0…f156 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 21:45 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 19:29 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 07:16 |
| Optimal-Weasel 0x82e2…ec75 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:47 |
| Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:40 |
| This-Choker 0xe84a…a460 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:52 |
| Poised-Side 0xb003…cfef | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 04:18:41 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | No | SELL | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbfb7b2… |
| 05-15 04:10:40 | Untrue-Institution 0xe8f2…96d7 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 97¢ | $83 | 0x67f8cb… |
| 05-15 04:07:59 | Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | Yes | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $81 | 0xc8d78c… |
| 05-15 03:53:29 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x2543ea… |
| 05-15 03:43:27 | Healthy-Plight 0x80e6…09e2 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 96¢ | $259 | 0xea1a09… |
| 05-15 03:40:15 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdb38b9… |
| 05-15 03:05:37 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0x9f5049… |
| 05-15 02:45:30 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | No | BUY | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x1c16fc… |
| 05-15 02:18:22 | Stingy-Corporal 0xadaa…875a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xba4b05… |
| 05-15 02:08:05 | Scratchy-Rope 0x5eb5…d2c8 | No | SELL | 92 | 15¢ | $14 | 0x902764… |
| 05-14 21:45:17 | Querulous-Geometry 0x48a0…f156 | No | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdcfe80… |
| 05-14 21:27:35 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | No | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xae411f… |
| 05-14 20:52:33 | This-Choker 0xe84a…a460 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x23c6dc… |
| 05-14 20:03:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x7de853… |
| 05-14 20:03:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x3d70a4… |
| 05-14 19:29:34 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x776234… |
| 05-14 19:29:34 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x740e8e… |
| 05-14 17:36:51 | Poised-Side 0xb003…cfef | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa19bc1… |
| 05-14 15:26:02 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 41 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x5b0dd6… |
| 05-14 12:47:41 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x9dffbd… |
| 05-14 12:20:16 | Optimal-Weasel 0x82e2…ec75 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x08c6d3… |
| 05-14 09:54:52 | Untrue-Institution 0xe8f2…96d7 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 54¢ | $47 | 0x1597f9… |
| 05-14 09:54:47 | Stingy-Corporal 0xadaa…875a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x5b2497… |
| 05-14 09:54:28 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x327e47… |
| 05-14 04:09:36 | Stingy-Corporal 0xadaa…875a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xf40603… |
| 05-13 17:37:47 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xe16f3a… |
| 05-13 08:41:28 | Uneven-Boutique 0x7b47…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x1a73e0… |
| 05-12 07:16:16 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5edf9f… |