Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 13?
No won
Total volume
$4,175
Trades
32
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-13
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-13 11:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $303
vs crowd: 0% YES on $4.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $5 | $3.9K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $3 | $114 | $112 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $160 | $160 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $5 | $298 | $293 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $114 | $114 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $160 | $160 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $0 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | +3,160 | $3,157 | $3,157 | 3 | 10-13 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x70c9…717f | Yes | +1,090 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-13 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x896b…4ca3 | Yes | +1,090 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-13 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x61b4…8f15 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-12 19:27 |
| Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | +540 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 10-12 03:15 |
| Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | +395 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 10-12 03:15 |
| Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | +300 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-08 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | +285 | $283 | $283 | 2 | 10-08 00:14 |
| Authentic-Highland 0x0db8…d6f6 | No | +160 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 10-11 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dd1…6b09 | No | +115 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 10-11 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-11 18:12 |
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 10-11 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-11 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-11 07:32 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-08 00:14 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-07 02:14 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 20:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x896b…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 1,090 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9875b6… |
| 10-13 11:12:23 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | BUY | 1,090 | 100¢ | $1,089 | 0x9875b6… |
| 10-13 10:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x70c9…717f | Yes | BUY | 1,090 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb42c82… |
| 10-13 10:52:41 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | BUY | 1,090 | 100¢ | $1,089 | 0xb42c82… |
| 10-12 19:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x61b4…8f15 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9c8df0… |
| 10-12 19:27:38 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | No | BUY | 980 | 100¢ | $979 | 0x9c8df0… |
| 10-12 19:27:38 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c8df0… |
| 10-12 03:15:42 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 395 | 100¢ | $395 | 0x5b8448… |
| 10-12 03:15:42 | Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | BUY | 395 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b8448… |
| 10-11 20:54:37 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x34a94e… |
| 10-11 20:54:37 | Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34a94e… |
| 10-11 20:54:37 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34a94e… |
| 10-11 20:54:37 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34a94e… |
| 10-11 18:30:48 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeea332… |
| 10-11 18:30:48 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xeea332… |
| 10-11 18:12:22 | Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x916a72… |
| 10-11 18:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x916a72… |
| 10-11 18:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x1dd1…6b09 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $114 | 0x916a72… |
| 10-11 07:32:27 | Authentic-Highland 0x0db8…d6f6 | No | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0x2fce15… |
| 10-11 07:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fce15… |
| 10-11 07:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 85 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fce15… |
| 10-11 07:32:27 | Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fce15… |
| 10-11 07:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fce15… |
| 10-08 00:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd4e9b… |
| 10-08 00:14:13 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcd4e9b… |
| 10-08 00:14:13 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | BUY | 195 | 100¢ | $194 | 0xcd4e9b… |
| 10-07 02:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2ddb1e… |
| 10-07 02:14:06 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2ddb1e… |
| 10-07 02:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2ddb1e… |
| 10-07 02:14:06 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x2ddb1e… |
| 10-06 20:59:38 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x71f41e… |
| 10-06 20:59:38 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x71f41e… |