Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 7?
open
Total volume
$424
$2,593 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$68,049
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 05:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $4 | $263 | $258 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $243 | $241 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| Median | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $52 | $51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reasonable-Protection 0xb94a…d680 | No | +197 | $189 | $189 | 2 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +64 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 05-07 04:33 |
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-07 04:33 |
| Rusty-Authorisation-Shoes 0x2da5…4004 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-07 03:58 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 23:06 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x905f…a2da | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 16:56 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x77c5…4248 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Glass-Patience 0xe5e4…e43b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3213…7421 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Faint-Counterforce 0x06cd…1b0c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb454…af0c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:08 |
| Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 05:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x2e16…27c0 | No | SELL | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0x2a58dc… |
| 05-07 05:43:53 | Grizzled-Still 0x4a3b…401e | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x5ae783… |
| 05-07 05:38:57 | Forthright-Possible 0x1232…d20a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x186a16… |
| 05-07 04:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xb454…af0c | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb2c260… |
| 05-07 04:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x77c5…4248 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6a4b1a… |
| 05-07 04:58:38 | Reasonable-Protection 0xb94a…d680 | No | BUY | 147 | 96¢ | $142 | 0x4303d3… |
| 05-07 04:58:28 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xf12b3b… |
| 05-07 04:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x77c5…4248 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xfaafe9… |
| 05-07 04:58:10 | (anonymous) 0x3213…7421 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xe377c8… |
| 05-07 04:58:10 | Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x2872a3… |
| 05-07 04:58:07 | Reasonable-Protection 0xb94a…d680 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x8d1b01… |
| 05-07 04:53:16 | Knobby-Fatherinlaw 0x4033…48c5 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x8da96a… |
| 05-07 04:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x0ba5…191e | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xa9e481… |
| 05-07 04:53:13 | Essential-Shell 0x164c…3e39 | No | SELL | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0xec48db… |
| 05-07 04:33:02 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x610a1c… |
| 05-07 04:33:02 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xf75ea7… |
| 05-07 04:08:30 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x7a3a9f… |
| 05-07 04:03:03 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0x96c4b6… |
| 05-07 04:02:59 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xe357f6… |
| 05-07 04:02:56 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa7924b… |
| 05-07 04:02:56 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x89442f… |
| 05-07 04:02:56 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x697502… |
| 05-07 04:02:49 | Watery-Boatyard 0x4477…fb85 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x9901d4… |
| 05-07 03:58:30 | Rusty-Authorisation-Shoes 0x2da5…4004 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x7de02c… |
| 05-07 03:58:12 | Rusty-Authorisation-Shoes 0x2da5…4004 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xae8d89… |
| 05-06 23:06:34 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x9bfe25… |
| 05-06 20:05:37 | Glass-Patience 0xe5e4…e43b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xe28970… |
| 05-06 16:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x905f…a2da | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x8d3045… |
| 05-06 15:07:09 | Faint-Counterforce 0x06cd…1b0c | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x34091f… |