Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$200
$282 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$2,745
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 17:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $0 | $162 | $162 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $22 | $22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Median | 4 | — | $81 | $81 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outlandish-Ecliptic 0xa8da…096f | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 12:53 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 03:10 |
| Rude-Crossstitch 0x0404…4719 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 16:24 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 17:59 |
| Jumbo-Operator 0x5002…ea11 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-08 14:04 |
| Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-08 10:01 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 13:53 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 15:30 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:10 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 03:36 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:10 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 07:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 17:59:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29c8b1… |
| 05-09 16:24:47 | Rude-Crossstitch 0x0404…4719 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x452545… |
| 05-09 15:36:22 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf08c11… |
| 05-09 15:30:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fea3b… |
| 05-09 15:30:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfff11a… |
| 05-09 15:30:58 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x8fb657… |
| 05-09 15:14:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa31f8… |
| 05-09 13:53:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8afa79… |
| 05-09 13:53:10 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x8b902a… |
| 05-09 13:53:10 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87f2d3… |
| 05-09 12:53:05 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1364c6… |
| 05-09 03:10:27 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2cb6d8… |
| 05-09 03:10:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc2e0b0… |
| 05-09 03:10:24 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa5c303… |
| 05-08 22:31:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63d743… |
| 05-08 22:31:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc51f79… |
| 05-08 21:26:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf4822… |
| 05-08 14:04:49 | Jumbo-Operator 0x5002…ea11 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xd01e83… |
| 05-08 10:01:10 | Complex-Pneumonia 0xe7fc…1c16 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa6af50… |
| 05-08 07:30:46 | Outlandish-Ecliptic 0xa8da…096f | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x3bd5a9… |
| 05-08 07:15:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x3d5a9a… |
| 05-08 07:14:41 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fe563… |
| 05-08 07:00:20 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96dc1b… |
| 05-08 07:00:05 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61fa5f… |
| 05-08 06:25:31 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5bd771… |
| 05-08 03:36:07 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0cc7bb… |
| 05-08 03:12:28 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9fba0a… |