Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,154,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$146
Trades
24
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-02
last 04-24 11:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 2% YES on $145)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $123 | $122 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $116 | $115 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | +117 | $116 | $116 | 3 | 04-24 11:13 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +68 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 11:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x041f…e229 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 11:12 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 04-02 23:52 |
| Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-04 23:30 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-02 23:50 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| Ethical-Carrier 0xf571…d2dc | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-22 13:19 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 23:52 |
| Gullible-Dark 0x007b…1fd2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-10 13:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 11:13:32 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 68 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf0da68… |
| 04-24 11:13:32 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0xf0da68… |
| 04-24 11:12:54 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x66f522… |
| 04-24 11:12:54 | (anonymous) 0x041f…e229 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x66f522… |
| 04-22 13:19:14 | Ethical-Carrier 0xf571…d2dc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x13a3e7… |
| 04-22 13:19:14 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x13a3e7… |
| 04-10 13:29:11 | Ethical-Carrier 0xf571…d2dc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5bd277… |
| 04-10 13:29:11 | Gullible-Dark 0x007b…1fd2 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5bd277… |
| 04-04 23:30:39 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5b1ad2… |
| 04-04 23:30:39 | Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5b1ad2… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x54f445… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x54f445… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x54f445… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeb38cb… |
| 04-02 23:52:09 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeb38cb… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe49feb… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0xa98c…20d5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe49feb… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe49feb… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x08685d… |
| 04-02 23:48:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x08685d… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xffdc94… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xffdc94… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x846fc1… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x846fc1… |