Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$9,407
Trades
1,038
Unique wallets
277
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-10-23
First seen
2026-10-22
last 10-23 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.8¢
(top1%: 87% YES on $3.4K
vs crowd: 84% YES on $8.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 84 | $4.5K | $630 | +$3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 75 | $1.5K | $236 | +$1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 71 | $1.1K | $444 | +$669 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $192 | $87 | +$105 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 76 | $2.9K | $445 | +$2.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 33 | $529 | $406 | +$123 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $132 | $2 | +$130 |
| Median | 13 | $69 | $2 | +$67 |
| Below median | 52 | $394 | $97 | +$298 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 21 | $655 | $42 | +$613 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 42 | $1.1K | $60 | +$1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 28 | $1.5K | $343 | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +900 | $837 | $837 | 12 | 10-22 23:58 |
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Up | +724 | $693 | $693 | 14 | 10-22 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f89…0a84 | Up | +600 | $504 | $504 | 3 | 10-22 23:53 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +576 | $61 | $61 | 20 | 10-22 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x84d3…f29e | Down | +524 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 10-22 23:45 |
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | +490 | $18 | $18 | 8 | 10-22 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb464…9cda | Down | +320 | $80 | $80 | 7 | 10-22 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | +300 | $3 | $3 | 25 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b85…1dd9 | Down | +294 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-22 23:49 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +292 | $17 | $17 | 13 | 10-22 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6d…7619 | Up | +285 | $276 | $276 | 2 | 10-22 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +280 | $277 | $277 | 14 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | +237 | $34 | $34 | 11 | 10-22 23:55 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +234 | $179 | $179 | 7 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Down | +213 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 10-22 23:55 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | +194 | $22 | $22 | 24 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | +175 | $19 | $19 | 6 | 10-22 23:55 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | +174 | $156 | $156 | 12 | 10-22 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5339…de31 | Down | +169 | $41 | $41 | 7 | 10-22 23:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc173…26ee | Down | +166 | $42 | $42 | 29 | 10-22 23:52 |
| Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | +165 | $19 | $19 | 14 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | +152 | $102 | $102 | 8 | 10-22 23:56 |
| Vain-Admin 0x8eec…09e0 | Up | +149 | $108 | $108 | 25 | 10-22 23:52 |
| Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | +145 | $130 | $130 | 11 | 10-22 23:57 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +145 | $87 | $87 | 5 | 10-22 23:49 |
| Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | +143 | $22 | $22 | 16 | 10-22 23:58 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +140 | $36 | $36 | 7 | 10-22 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe64f…ad1d | Down | +137 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 10-22 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Up | +136 | $104 | $104 | 8 | 10-22 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | +136 | $36 | $36 | 12 | 10-22 23:53 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Up | +134 | $91 | $91 | 4 | 10-22 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa322…681a | Down | +133 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | Down | +133 | $29 | $29 | 6 | 10-22 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | +131 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 10-22 23:53 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | +130 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 10-22 23:58 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +126 | $117 | $117 | 2 | 10-22 23:55 |
| Biodegradable-Methane 0x5dcf…75b9 | Up | +126 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 10-22 23:53 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +126 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-22 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +125 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-22 23:58 |
| Sunny-Gravity 0x5fbc…46ba | Up | +124 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 10-22 23:58 |
| Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | +123 | $103 | $103 | 8 | 10-22 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +121 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 10-22 23:57 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Down | +121 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-22 23:54 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | +112 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-22 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4281…1a5a | Down | +111 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-22 23:57 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Up | +110 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 10-22 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | Up | +107 | $100 | $100 | 10 | 10-22 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-22 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5916…c0a1 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 10-22 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xef85…cbb0 | Down | +99 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 10-22 23:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +97 | $70 | $70 | 9 | 10-22 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b9…d1f6 | Up | +90 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 10-22 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +89 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 10-22 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x57b8…8274 | Up | +84 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 10-22 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | +75 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 10-22 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5a6…16a5 | Up | +73 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 10-22 23:56 |
| Nutritious-Fee 0xc310…0966 | Up | +72 | $51 | $51 | 10 | 10-22 23:52 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +69 | $45 | $45 | 9 | 10-22 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +62 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 10-22 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5076…905b | Up | +61 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 10-22 23:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 00:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Up | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xf165d7… |
| 10-23 00:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x8b59…cd8e | Up | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xf165d7… |
| 10-22 23:59:14 | (anonymous) 0xe292…2791 | Up | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb8a607… |
| 10-22 23:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb8a607… |
| 10-22 23:58:38 | (anonymous) 0x28ef…986b | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc93773… |
| 10-22 23:58:38 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc93773… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | (anonymous) 0xa322…681a | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5536ab… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | Sunny-Gravity 0x5fbc…46ba | Up | BUY | 124 | 99¢ | $123 | 0x5536ab… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | (anonymous) 0x2bca…b4dc | Up | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x01ff3a… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x01ff3a… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5536ab… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5536ab… |
| 10-22 23:58:36 | (anonymous) 0xd0e5…405a | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5536ab… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | Lovable-Pineapple 0x726b…9daa | Down | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6f10aa… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x6f10aa… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xd0e5…405a | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd591a0… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab8559… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0x6af3…9a08 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd591a0… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xf801…3161 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6f10aa… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab8559… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | Superficial-Caboose-Decrease 0x2b7d…33db | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6f10aa… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | BUY | 130 | 99¢ | $129 | 0xab8559… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xd0e5…405a | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2a52a6… |
| 10-22 23:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xb67b…e739 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2a52a6… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e955f… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642be8… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6d4cea… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8e955f… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x327853… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x327853… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x99d546… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5baf5b… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642be8… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x642be8… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d4cea… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5baf5b… |
| 10-22 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99d546… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xed7eed… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed7eed… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x36b91e… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xbc67c7… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x686b55… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf56949… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x36b91e… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf56949… |
| 10-22 23:58:24 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x686b55… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x03c755… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x5971…bec3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x55c3b0… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd88212… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x55c3b0… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2dee34… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x811d30… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2dee34… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd88212… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x811d30… |
| 10-22 23:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x03c755… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x44e371… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x0b80ce… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x44e371… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa8b570… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xbb521a… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0b80ce… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa8b570… |
| 10-22 23:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb521a… |
| 10-22 23:58:20 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1857ef… |
| 10-22 23:58:20 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1857ef… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1fae78… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5a670a… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdc9f55… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a670a… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7a662… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1fae78… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc9f55… |
| 10-22 23:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x5971…bec3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe7a662… |
| 10-22 23:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x4caa…261d | Down | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac9831… |
| 10-22 23:58:12 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63369e… |
| 10-22 23:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x5971…bec3 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x63369e… |
| 10-22 23:58:12 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac9831… |
| 10-22 23:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x473c52… |
| 10-22 23:58:11 | (anonymous) 0x9e07…d208 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2dd533… |
| 10-22 23:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2dd533… |
| 10-22 23:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x473c52… |
| 10-22 23:58:08 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x11ae12… |
| 10-22 23:58:08 | Blissful-Chalk 0xeae2…fe6b | Up | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0x11ae12… |
| 10-22 23:58:08 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x11ae12… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x27d713… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9bd98d… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x0d55…1839 | Up | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x27d713… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9bd98d… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x27d713… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe774ac… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe774ac… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x5cac…58de | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9bd98d… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe774ac… |
| 10-22 23:58:06 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe774ac… |
| 10-22 23:58:05 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa9a289… |
| 10-22 23:58:05 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa9a289… |
| 10-22 23:58:03 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49e468… |
| 10-22 23:58:03 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b58e4… |