Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$649
$876 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,175
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 07:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | — | $594 | $594 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $191 | $191 |
| Median | 7 | — | $321 | $321 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $53 | $53 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $52 | $52 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown-Monotheism 0x6563…fc6b | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-10 02:06 |
| Torn-Bribery 0xa9fe…8b1f | No | +172 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 05-10 07:12 |
| Responsible-Almanac 0xb661…34f4 | No | +66 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-10 06:53 |
| Sticky-Moat 0xc497…c184 | No | +51 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-10 06:56 |
| Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 05:43 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 07:07 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-10 04:06 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:41 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:56 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 17:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:21 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:02 |
| Teeming-Therapist 0x79f0…d7c0 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:47 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:41:55 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x641d58… |
| 05-10 07:37:56 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x17e1ba… |
| 05-10 07:12:26 | Torn-Bribery 0xa9fe…8b1f | No | BUY | 172 | 100¢ | $172 | 0x478847… |
| 05-10 07:07:23 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fc8b5… |
| 05-10 07:07:23 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xab74e7… |
| 05-10 07:02:42 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x84f1b5… |
| 05-10 06:56:25 | Sticky-Moat 0xc497…c184 | No | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0xeb790d… |
| 05-10 06:53:13 | Responsible-Almanac 0xb661…34f4 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x8f2954… |
| 05-10 06:47:05 | Teeming-Therapist 0x79f0…d7c0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x28a68a… |
| 05-10 06:42:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2e7f7… |
| 05-10 06:28:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcab1b4… |
| 05-10 04:06:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd067d7… |
| 05-10 04:06:40 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb451e… |
| 05-10 04:06:40 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x1ba22e… |
| 05-10 03:56:23 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x734e05… |
| 05-10 03:51:11 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x6b0f3e… |
| 05-10 02:06:04 | Brown-Monotheism 0x6563…fc6b | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xe27f36… |
| 05-10 01:28:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7a1ea… |
| 05-10 01:26:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x964a35… |
| 05-10 01:26:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x659424… |
| 05-10 01:26:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43e3aa… |
| 05-10 01:21:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x071aa4… |
| 05-10 01:20:38 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc5053e… |
| 05-09 21:09:39 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc2b362… |
| 05-09 18:41:50 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0b5b03… |
| 05-09 17:08:58 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc22f0e… |
| 05-09 03:18:04 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xd2586e… |
| 05-08 05:43:12 | Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1baeb1… |