Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 11?
No won
Total volume
$600
Trades
45
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2026-11-11
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-11 21:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.3¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $314
vs crowd: 14% YES on $459)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $13 | $204 | $191 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $10 | $149 | $139 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $28 | $34 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $11 | $10 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $13 | $301 | $287 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $40 | $30 | +$10 |
| Median | 2 | $4 | $4 | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | $6 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $32 | $31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | +143 | $143 | $143 | 5 | 11-11 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +61 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-11 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +59 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 11-11 17:20 |
| Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | +46 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 11-10 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd73e…4b96 | Yes | +45 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-10 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3137…b7f6 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-11 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 11-11 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 11-11 14:21 |
| Masculine-Brake 0x6cd2…8eaa | No | +35 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 11-10 12:15 |
| Normal-Leeway 0x1ba7…3d88 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-10 10:43 |
| Superb-Numeracy 0xecdb…c3b4 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-11 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 11-11 17:05 |
| Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-11 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 11-10 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bde…53c9 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-10 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x19bb…58d5 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-10 10:52 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 20:50 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x21ec…00be | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-10 10:52 |
| Mundane-Generosity 0xbfba…9774 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-10 13:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 21:23:04 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x5922c8… |
| 11-11 21:23:04 | Private-Chopsticks 0xaee7…8834 | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x5922c8… |
| 11-11 20:50:18 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa2ee1… |
| 11-11 20:50:18 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xaa2ee1… |
| 11-11 20:50:16 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x097c52… |
| 11-11 20:50:16 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x097c52… |
| 11-11 17:25:25 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x596306… |
| 11-11 17:25:25 | Jovial-Hepatitis 0xed30…87b1 | No | SELL | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x596306… |
| 11-11 17:24:00 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa0addc… |
| 11-11 17:24:00 | (anonymous) 0x9c26…c968 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa0addc… |
| 11-11 17:20:10 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc270e2… |
| 11-11 17:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x8b89…b6c4 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xc270e2… |
| 11-11 17:20:10 | Jovial-Hepatitis 0xed30…87b1 | No | BUY | 104 | 95¢ | $99 | 0xc270e2… |
| 11-11 17:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc270e2… |
| 11-11 17:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc270e2… |
| 11-11 17:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xccb49e… |
| 11-11 17:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xccb49e… |
| 11-11 17:05:25 | Private-Chopsticks 0xaee7…8834 | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xccb49e… |
| 11-11 14:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xc611cf… |
| 11-11 14:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x3137…b7f6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xc611cf… |
| 11-11 14:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xc611cf… |
| 11-11 14:15:09 | Superb-Numeracy 0xecdb…c3b4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xcb4872… |
| 11-11 14:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xcb4872… |
| 11-10 18:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x9c26…c968 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x663ef0… |
| 11-10 18:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x663ef0… |
| 11-10 13:08:10 | Mundane-Generosity 0xbfba…9774 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x0627a6… |
| 11-10 13:08:10 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x0627a6… |
| 11-10 13:08:09 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xe44ae2… |
| 11-10 13:08:09 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xe44ae2… |
| 11-10 13:08:09 | (anonymous) 0xd73e…4b96 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 34¢ | $15 | 0xe44ae2… |
| 11-10 13:08:09 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xe44ae2… |
| 11-10 12:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xb4028b… |
| 11-10 12:15:16 | Masculine-Brake 0x6cd2…8eaa | No | BUY | 35 | 69¢ | $24 | 0xb4028b… |
| 11-10 12:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x0bde…53c9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb4028b… |
| 11-10 12:15:16 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb4028b… |
| 11-10 10:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x21ec…00be | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x6b7bfe… |
| 11-10 10:52:22 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x1b9d62… |
| 11-10 10:52:22 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x6b7bfe… |
| 11-10 10:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x19bb…58d5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1b9d62… |
| 11-10 10:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x1b9d62… |
| 11-10 10:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xf32c67… |
| 11-10 10:43:28 | Normal-Leeway 0x1ba7…3d88 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 37¢ | $8 | 0xf32c67… |
| 11-10 10:43:28 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 17 | 63¢ | $11 | 0xf32c67… |
| 11-09 23:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x8b89…b6c4 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xa0d58b… |
| 11-09 23:30:03 | Normal-Leeway 0x1ba7…3d88 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xa0d58b… |