XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$321
Trades
42
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
58¢
Latest NO mid
42¢
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-16 19:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.1¢
(top1%: 61% YES on $155
vs crowd: 73% YES on $295)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $134 | $74 | +$60 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $50 | $2 | +$48 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $25 | $4 | +$21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $95 | $60 | +$36 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $40 | $10 | +$30 |
| Median | 2 | $16 | $1 | +$15 |
| Below median | 2 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $34 | $6 | +$28 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +100 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 10-16 19:24 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +64 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 10-16 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +50 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 10-16 19:18 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +50 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-16 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | +29 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-16 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-16 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-16 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +25 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-16 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +19 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-16 19:23 |
| Portly-Heroine 0x637f…38d0 | Up | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-16 19:24 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Up | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-16 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-16 19:18 |
| Rich-Founder 0x94d4…17c9 | Down | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-16 19:19 |
| Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-16 19:23 |
| Phony-Grandparent 0x3be0…9b50 | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-16 19:23 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-16 19:24 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-16 19:28 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-16 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c87…fe37 | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-16 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-16 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f61…86ac | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-16 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-16 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xde44…d24d | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 19:21 |
| Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-16 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 19:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x0c87…fe37 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb3ad65… |
| 10-16 19:28:40 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3ad65… |
| 10-16 19:28:40 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08a726… |
| 10-16 19:28:40 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08a726… |
| 10-16 19:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08a726… |
| 10-16 19:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x08a726… |
| 10-16 19:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4427a0… |
| 10-16 19:25:25 | Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4427a0… |
| 10-16 19:24:56 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfe24c0… |
| 10-16 19:24:56 | Portly-Heroine 0x637f…38d0 | Up | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0xfe24c0… |
| 10-16 19:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfe24c0… |
| 10-16 19:24:55 | Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Up | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x075cf9… |
| 10-16 19:24:55 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x075cf9… |
| 10-16 19:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0xfb0d0d… |
| 10-16 19:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xfb0d0d… |
| 10-16 19:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xf34230… |
| 10-16 19:24:25 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xf34230… |
| 10-16 19:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x297e…7728 | Up | SELL | 38 | 67¢ | $25 | 0x6ebd2d… |
| 10-16 19:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 4 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x6ebd2d… |
| 10-16 19:23:41 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 14 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x6ebd2d… |
| 10-16 19:23:41 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | Up | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x6ebd2d… |
| 10-16 19:23:41 | Phony-Grandparent 0x3be0…9b50 | Up | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x6ebd2d… |
| 10-16 19:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x4f61…86ac | Down | BUY | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x2659e6… |
| 10-16 19:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x2659e6… |
| 10-16 19:21:31 | (anonymous) 0xde44…d24d | Down | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x2c0817… |
| 10-16 19:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x2c0817… |
| 10-16 19:19:56 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 25 | 68¢ | $17 | 0xefcd7f… |
| 10-16 19:19:56 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0xefcd7f… |
| 10-16 19:19:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 25 | 69¢ | $17 | 0xbc2142… |
| 10-16 19:19:53 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xbc2142… |
| 10-16 19:19:50 | Rich-Founder 0x94d4…17c9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x712120… |
| 10-16 19:19:50 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | BUY | 1 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x712120… |
| 10-16 19:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0x712120… |
| 10-16 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 25 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x74c533… |
| 10-16 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0x297e…7728 | Up | BUY | 38 | 66¢ | $25 | 0x74c533… |
| 10-16 19:19:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x74c533… |
| 10-16 19:18:58 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 64¢ | $16 | 0xffb753… |
| 10-16 19:18:58 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 25 | 36¢ | $9 | 0xffb753… |
| 10-16 19:18:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 14 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xf8c702… |
| 10-16 19:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | BUY | 14 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xf8c702… |
| 10-16 19:18:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 61¢ | $16 | 0x8f81d9… |
| 10-16 19:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 0 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x8f81d9… |