Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 11?
Yes won
Total volume
$7,561
Trades
58
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-11 20:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-89.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $517
vs crowd: 89% YES on $5.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1.7K | $517 | +$1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2.0K | $1 | +$2.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $790 | $39 | +$751 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $15 | $0 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $517 | $517 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $163 | — | +$163 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $25 | $0 | +$25 |
| Median | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Below median | 5 | $125 | $0 | +$125 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $15 | $0 | +$15 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $4.2K | $31 | +$4.2K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +2,448 | $516 | $516 | 5 | 05-11 18:56 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +1,724 | $1,722 | $1,722 | 2 | 05-11 20:22 |
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | +600 | $599 | $599 | 1 | 05-11 20:00 |
| Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | +164 | $133 | $133 | 6 | 05-11 19:28 |
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | +164 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 05-11 19:28 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-11 19:59 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-11 19:59 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 19:35 |
| Yellowish-Soil 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-11 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 19:53 |
| Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Yes | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-11 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x88c7…febc | Yes | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 18:56 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 19:30 |
| Both-Lipoprotein 0x0eff…1cba | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 19:35 |
| Long-Thesis 0xa89c…9163 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9e5…9bb8 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:53 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-11 19:49 |
| Rowdy-Administration 0x4352…c794 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:02 |
| Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 19:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 20:22:00 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3f5804… |
| 05-11 20:22:00 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3f5804… |
| 05-11 20:00:32 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x217af7… |
| 05-11 20:00:32 | Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Yes | SELL | 1,723 | 100¢ | $1,721 | 0xbbf33f… |
| 05-11 20:00:32 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 1,723 | 100¢ | $1,721 | 0xbbf33f… |
| 05-11 20:00:32 | Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x217af7… |
| 05-11 20:00:04 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x937eb9… |
| 05-11 20:00:04 | Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Yes | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x937eb9… |
| 05-11 20:00:02 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbe0174… |
| 05-11 20:00:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe0174… |
| 05-11 20:00:02 | Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbe0174… |
| 05-11 19:59:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x287e37… |
| 05-11 19:59:06 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x287e37… |
| 05-11 19:59:06 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x287e37… |
| 05-11 19:53:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ea0f5… |
| 05-11 19:53:42 | (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6ea0f5… |
| 05-11 19:50:17 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93969f… |
| 05-11 19:50:17 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93969f… |
| 05-11 19:49:06 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf133ee… |
| 05-11 19:49:06 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf133ee… |
| 05-11 19:36:54 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52b60b… |
| 05-11 19:36:54 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x52b60b… |
| 05-11 19:35:42 | Yellowish-Soil 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x1f9b45… |
| 05-11 19:35:42 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1f9b45… |
| 05-11 19:35:13 | Both-Lipoprotein 0x0eff…1cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x61ad43… |
| 05-11 19:35:13 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x61ad43… |
| 05-11 19:31:30 | Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfe16d6… |
| 05-11 19:31:30 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfe16d6… |
| 05-11 19:30:13 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8ef2fe… |
| 05-11 19:30:13 | Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8ef2fe… |
| 05-11 19:30:13 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x49b4d5… |
| 05-11 19:30:13 | Deficient-Adaptation 0x9556…7525 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x49b4d5… |
| 05-11 19:28:13 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x770677… |
| 05-11 19:28:13 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0x770677… |
| 05-11 19:27:48 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x3159d1… |
| 05-11 19:27:48 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x3159d1… |
| 05-11 19:27:27 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 82¢ | $26 | 0x71af43… |
| 05-11 19:27:27 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 32 | 18¢ | $6 | 0x71af43… |
| 05-11 19:27:06 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 32 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x270cbc… |
| 05-11 19:27:06 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 81¢ | $26 | 0x270cbc… |
| 05-11 19:26:59 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 34 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x070a27… |
| 05-11 19:26:59 | Absolute-Herring 0x8340…b29b | No | SELL | 34 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x070a27… |
| 05-11 19:26:45 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 77¢ | $26 | 0x4ebc41… |
| 05-11 19:26:45 | Absolute-Herring 0x8340…b29b | No | BUY | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0x4ebc41… |
| 05-11 19:26:24 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | No | BUY | 34 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x187d92… |
| 05-11 19:26:24 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 78¢ | $26 | 0x187d92… |
| 05-11 19:14:20 | Webbed-Magic 0x15d9…6b54 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x993fa3… |
| 05-11 19:14:20 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x993fa3… |
| 05-11 18:56:29 | (anonymous) 0x88c7…febc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x02d260… |
| 05-11 18:56:29 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x02d260… |
| 05-11 18:53:35 | Long-Thesis 0xa89c…9163 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x67bcca… |
| 05-11 18:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb9e5…9bb8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x0b9b69… |
| 05-11 18:53:35 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x0b9b69… |
| 05-11 18:53:35 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x67bcca… |
| 05-11 18:53:30 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 2,425 | 21¢ | $509 | 0xfe1046… |
| 05-11 18:53:30 | Untimely-Grade 0x9da0…523c | Yes | BUY | 2,425 | 79¢ | $1,916 | 0xfe1046… |
| 05-11 17:02:21 | Rowdy-Administration 0x4352…c794 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x78ad31… |
| 05-11 17:02:21 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x78ad31… |