Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$124
$724 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,869
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 10:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $34 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $17 | $42 | $25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $6 | $20 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Median | 3 | — | $23 | $23 |
| Below median | 7 | $3 | $12 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $6 | $15 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +24 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-14 10:39 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 06:34 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:28 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 08:44 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 08:43 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:28 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:28 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Turbulent-Screw 0xaf3c…ddd0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:10 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 18:47 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 16:57 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 05:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 16:17 |
| Worn-Massage 0x188a…c11b | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 06:28 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 08:43 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:44 |
| Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7459…e588 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:44 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:39:16 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 24 | 86¢ | $21 | 0xed99d7… |
| 05-14 08:44:26 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xbbf4ef… |
| 05-14 08:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x8eff9d… |
| 05-14 08:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x7459…e588 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x0d07c1… |
| 05-14 08:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb07579… |
| 05-14 08:43:58 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x90d2bb… |
| 05-14 08:43:58 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xe5441c… |
| 05-14 08:43:58 | Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x21138a… |
| 05-14 08:24:01 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x80712c… |
| 05-14 07:28:55 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb9962b… |
| 05-14 07:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8ecf5e… |
| 05-14 07:28:54 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x95c490… |
| 05-14 07:09:14 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x22c2ec… |
| 05-14 06:43:46 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xb3a476… |
| 05-14 06:28:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x188613… |
| 05-14 06:15:48 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xd41150… |
| 05-14 06:10:56 | Turbulent-Screw 0xaf3c…ddd0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x14c9fc… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xcdeee1… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xd527cf… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x992230… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x534627… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x340b8b… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x0f0d10… |
| 05-14 05:15:50 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | SELL | 87 | 20¢ | $18 | 0x561307… |
| 05-14 05:15:43 | Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xe6ed85… |
| 05-14 05:05:36 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xd471f1… |
| 05-14 05:05:29 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x16e7a2… |
| 05-13 21:54:26 | Worn-Massage 0x188a…c11b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc3aeeb… |
| 05-13 20:28:41 | Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xdb80ca… |
| 05-13 18:47:51 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4692a2… |
| 05-13 17:27:51 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc52615… |
| 05-13 17:27:42 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xb19c6a… |
| 05-13 16:57:41 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x62d194… |
| 05-13 16:17:45 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x9283d2… |
| 05-13 06:36:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x9e586a… |
| 05-13 06:36:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x7a9782… |
| 05-13 06:34:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x75e90e… |
| 05-13 05:59:34 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x0e097a… |
| 05-13 05:27:45 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x8469ea… |