Will JD Vance say "Subsidize" in Des Moines?
No won
Total volume
$475
Trades
51
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 07:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+76.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $77
vs crowd: 23% YES on $463)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $2 | $30 | $28 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $89 | $294 | $205 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $9 | $27 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $9 | $3 | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $77 | — | +$77 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $3 | $233 | $230 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $45 | $44 |
| Below median | 8 | $18 | $3 | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $10 | $73 | $63 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | +277 | $215 | $215 | 7 | 05-06 06:43 |
| Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | +170 | $0 | $1 | 7 | 05-06 07:39 |
| Legal-Butcher 0x3989…27b1 | Yes | +100 | $77 | $77 | 2 | 05-04 17:36 |
| Portly-Guilty 0x149f…d306 | No | +59 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 05-05 22:47 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-06 07:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd850…e26c | No | +43 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 17:25 |
| Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-06 07:48 |
| Popular-Chrome 0xdbd7…6d6c | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Grouchy-Boulder 0x7597…5f01 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-06 04:44 |
| Watchful-Ketchup 0x768a…4f50 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 12:53 |
| Raw-Adaptation 0x300d…978f | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 22:47 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 12:12 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 22:33 |
| Nutty-Document 0x9f33…da59 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 11:50 |
| Probable-Interpreter 0x2168…1da7 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 22:47 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-05 22:47 |
| Dreary-Waiting 0x5069…824e | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 21:38 |
| Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:14 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 19:35 |
| Dry-Seaweed 0x1643…8a81 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 07:48:18 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x02daee… |
| 05-06 07:48:18 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02daee… |
| 05-06 07:48:16 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e5f20… |
| 05-06 07:48:16 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e5f20… |
| 05-06 07:39:38 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26c691… |
| 05-06 07:39:38 | Striped-Mark 0xc6b6…3eab | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26c691… |
| 05-06 07:39:32 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb5ad5f… |
| 05-06 07:39:32 | Striped-Mark 0xc6b6…3eab | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb5ad5f… |
| 05-06 06:43:10 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0x504278… |
| 05-06 06:43:10 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x504278… |
| 05-06 06:43:00 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff8577… |
| 05-06 06:43:00 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0xff8577… |
| 05-06 04:44:06 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f5e4f… |
| 05-06 04:44:06 | Grouchy-Boulder 0x7597…5f01 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7f5e4f… |
| 05-06 02:40:50 | Grouchy-Boulder 0x7597…5f01 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x53f127… |
| 05-06 02:40:50 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53f127… |
| 05-05 22:47:42 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfccf64… |
| 05-05 22:47:42 | Raw-Adaptation 0x300d…978f | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xfccf64… |
| 05-05 22:47:42 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfccf64… |
| 05-05 22:47:42 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfccf64… |
| 05-05 22:47:22 | Portly-Guilty 0x149f…d306 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x26012e… |
| 05-05 22:47:22 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26012e… |
| 05-05 22:47:22 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x26012e… |
| 05-05 22:47:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe0948a… |
| 05-05 22:47:16 | Portly-Guilty 0x149f…d306 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xe0948a… |
| 05-05 22:47:16 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe0948a… |
| 05-05 19:35:42 | Dry-Seaweed 0x1643…8a81 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x92a816… |
| 05-05 19:35:42 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x92a816… |
| 05-05 16:39:50 | Urban-Brotherinlaw 0x9630…4005 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x80f6ba… |
| 05-05 16:39:50 | Popular-Chrome 0xdbd7…6d6c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x80f6ba… |
| 05-05 16:14:34 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7f865… |
| 05-05 16:14:34 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd7f865… |
| 05-05 12:55:42 | Urban-Brotherinlaw 0x9630…4005 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x67579f… |
| 05-05 12:55:42 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x67579f… |
| 05-05 12:53:04 | Striped-Mark 0xc6b6…3eab | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x3c5100… |
| 05-05 12:53:04 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 28 | 75¢ | $21 | 0x3c5100… |
| 05-05 12:53:04 | Watchful-Ketchup 0x768a…4f50 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x3c5100… |
| 05-05 12:12:26 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x2f0821… |
| 05-05 12:12:26 | Striped-Mark 0xc6b6…3eab | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x2f0821… |
| 05-05 11:50:22 | Striped-Mark 0xc6b6…3eab | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x807ff2… |
| 05-05 11:50:22 | Nutty-Document 0x9f33…da59 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x807ff2… |
| 05-04 22:33:20 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x115d9d… |
| 05-04 22:33:20 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x115d9d… |
| 05-04 21:38:44 | Dreary-Waiting 0x5069…824e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xa2f425… |
| 05-04 21:38:44 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa2f425… |
| 05-04 20:59:56 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf51090… |
| 05-04 20:59:56 | Probable-Interpreter 0x2168…1da7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xf51090… |
| 05-04 17:36:26 | Legal-Butcher 0x3989…27b1 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 77¢ | $44 | 0xcda7f0… |
| 05-04 17:36:26 | Shady-Vitality 0x299c…d85e | No | BUY | 57 | 23¢ | $13 | 0xcda7f0… |
| 05-04 17:25:26 | Legal-Butcher 0x3989…27b1 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 77¢ | $33 | 0x20078a… |
| 05-04 17:25:26 | (anonymous) 0xd850…e26c | No | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x20078a… |