Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 4?
open
Total volume
$477
$474 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$11
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-11-03
last 11-04 09:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.0¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $37
vs crowd: 12% YES on $457)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $17 | $359 | $342 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $3 | $0 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $24 | $41 | $16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $11 | $2 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $6 | $31 | $25 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $20 | $332 | $312 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $9 | $29 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | +334 | $330 | $330 | 4 | 11-03 19:25 |
| Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | Yes | +279 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 11-03 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-03 19:18 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 11-03 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf13…b91a | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-03 21:13 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-03 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2db2…de50 | No | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-04 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xaebd…a26f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-04 00:30 |
| Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-04 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc7e…6aba | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-04 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d7b…3114 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-04 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-04 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa434…cf75 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-03 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3137…b7f6 | Yes | +9 | -$3 | $6 | 2 | 11-04 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e3e…36d6 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-04 06:02 |
| Evil-Watcher 0x2986…b3a9 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-04 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 09:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 09:50:00 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x0ffe58… |
| 11-04 09:50:00 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x0ffe58… |
| 11-04 09:46:09 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x807c04… |
| 11-04 09:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x2db2…de50 | No | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x807c04… |
| 11-04 09:46:09 | Growling-Restaurant 0x2fe2…ec56 | No | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x807c04… |
| 11-04 09:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf5a01e… |
| 11-04 09:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x7d7b…3114 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xf5a01e… |
| 11-04 09:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf5a01e… |
| 11-04 06:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x0e3e…36d6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x007a25… |
| 11-04 06:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x3137…b7f6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x007a25… |
| 11-04 05:34:51 | Evil-Watcher 0x2986…b3a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7eaba5… |
| 11-04 05:34:51 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7eaba5… |
| 11-04 05:34:51 | (anonymous) 0xcc7e…6aba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x7eaba5… |
| 11-04 03:02:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x996123… |
| 11-04 03:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x996123… |
| 11-04 03:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x3137…b7f6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x996123… |
| 11-04 00:30:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa49d5c… |
| 11-04 00:30:51 | (anonymous) 0xaebd…a26f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa49d5c… |
| 11-03 21:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb940ab… |
| 11-03 21:27:25 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb940ab… |
| 11-03 21:27:25 | (anonymous) 0xaebd…a26f | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb940ab… |
| 11-03 21:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc06b8d… |
| 11-03 21:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x0a16…6004 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x950eaf… |
| 11-03 21:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x950eaf… |
| 11-03 21:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xbf13…b91a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc06b8d… |
| 11-03 19:25:09 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x954eec… |
| 11-03 19:25:09 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x954eec… |
| 11-03 19:20:45 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4326db… |
| 11-03 19:20:45 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4326db… |
| 11-03 19:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c18a2… |
| 11-03 19:18:28 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7c18a2… |
| 11-03 19:18:28 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c18a2… |
| 11-03 19:18:18 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | Yes | BUY | 263 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xcac2f3… |
| 11-03 19:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcac2f3… |
| 11-03 19:18:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcac2f3… |
| 11-03 19:18:18 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0xcac2f3… |
| 11-03 19:18:18 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcac2f3… |
| 11-03 18:59:34 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ebcfe… |
| 11-03 18:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xa434…cf75 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x2ebcfe… |
| 11-03 16:12:06 | Growling-Restaurant 0x2fe2…ec56 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xde6b54… |
| 11-03 16:12:06 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xde6b54… |
| 11-03 16:11:43 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x50b818… |
| 11-03 16:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x50b818… |
| 11-03 16:11:43 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x50b818… |