Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$292
$1,856 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$559
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 14:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $8 | $283 | $276 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $36 | $36 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $35 | $34 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $162 | $162 |
| unranked | 8 | $7 | $28 | $21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | +4,841 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 14:42 |
| Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | +155 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-05 05:49 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-05 05:49 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Edible-Store 0xd2a2…2762 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 22:59 |
| Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 22:24 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 04:30 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 01:05 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 06:25 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-05 07:04 |
| Complete-Accordance 0x1907…ac1a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 04:15 |
| Wonderful-Vagrant 0x931f…2e44 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 23:44 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Ecstatic-Postbox 0x6bf6…2529 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 03:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 14:42:18 | Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | BUY | 4,841 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x682b97… |
| 05-05 08:10:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfcb7d2… |
| 05-05 07:04:54 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9b0ef6… |
| 05-05 07:01:02 | Clever-Termination 0x78b1…94d8 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x395a62… |
| 05-05 07:00:02 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5bb255… |
| 05-05 06:25:08 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1180da… |
| 05-05 06:00:48 | Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | No | BUY | 155 | 97¢ | $150 | 0x13a6ac… |
| 05-05 06:00:44 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x894cba… |
| 05-05 05:49:58 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0xdc172d… |
| 05-05 05:49:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf133d6… |
| 05-05 05:49:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6b2dfd… |
| 05-05 05:49:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaa8718… |
| 05-05 05:49:58 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xad9d79… |
| 05-05 04:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x3dbf6e… |
| 05-05 04:15:04 | Complete-Accordance 0x1907…ac1a | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x29714a… |
| 05-05 04:10:42 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x4a9e35… |
| 05-05 03:15:04 | Ecstatic-Postbox 0x6bf6…2529 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x646192… |
| 05-05 01:05:06 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x99b405… |
| 05-05 00:54:54 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x9c85cd… |
| 05-05 00:54:54 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4cbbbd… |
| 05-05 00:54:54 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb07804… |
| 05-04 23:44:34 | Wonderful-Vagrant 0x931f…2e44 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe2c84f… |
| 05-04 23:14:52 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x60889c… |
| 05-04 22:59:40 | Edible-Store 0xd2a2…2762 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb421b6… |
| 05-04 22:24:38 | Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x23da6b… |