Will Sweden win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
open
Total volume
$434
$7,990 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$23,483
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 01:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 3% YES on $426)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $195 | $195 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $169 | $169 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $12 | $49 | $37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $90 | $90 |
| Median | 2 | $12 | $20 | $7 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $90 | $90 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $154 | $154 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | Yes | +852 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 17:13 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +157 | $154 | $154 | 5 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +81 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 05-11 22:58 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 21:17 |
| Rectangular-Pounding 0x2398…fa10 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 01:06 |
| Amusing-Pathogenesis 0xb341…5838 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Muffled-Sill 0x629e…6be4 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 11:12 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:20 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 20:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 01:06:16 | Rectangular-Pounding 0x2398…fa10 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xcca4fe… |
| 05-12 23:20:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb5ee72… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf9c787… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0x9440b7… |
| 05-12 23:20:52 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x29dee6… |
| 05-12 21:43:02 | Spry-Diving 0x31d3…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 350 | 2¢ | $7 | 0xbac661… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x0fae5f… |
| 05-12 21:17:27 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda8b76… |
| 05-12 20:47:58 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x9a178f… |
| 05-12 20:46:31 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x29fd03… |
| 05-12 20:12:42 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3cf5ed… |
| 05-12 19:21:12 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0xf7302c… |
| 05-12 19:20:26 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x6fa17b… |
| 05-12 19:20:23 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x5c923e… |
| 05-12 19:20:21 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc5ca14… |
| 05-12 12:42:57 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xed95fe… |
| 05-12 11:12:45 | Muffled-Sill 0x629e…6be4 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x45b579… |
| 05-11 23:03:54 | Amusing-Pathogenesis 0xb341…5838 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2dd317… |
| 05-11 22:58:30 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd82880… |
| 05-11 22:58:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfaf26c… |
| 05-11 22:58:13 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xddd96a… |
| 05-11 17:13:12 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | Yes | BUY | 852 | 1¢ | $12 | 0xbe43e1… |
| 05-11 09:35:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe92426… |
| 05-11 09:04:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x1bf1d9… |