Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 11?
No won
Total volume
$519
Trades
46
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 17:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $29 | $78 | $50 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $11 | $375 | $364 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 13 | $1 | $340 | $339 |
| Below median | 12 | $9 | $79 | $70 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | Yes | +1,053 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:59 |
| Shrill-Exhibition 0x9cd5…33cf | Yes | +731 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Satisfied-Robin 0x2ca6…b9d1 | No | +223 | $209 | $209 | 1 | 05-11 17:12 |
| Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | +143 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-11 17:02 |
| Horrible-Hoof 0x8337…2827 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 16:56 |
| Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | +28 | $28 | $71 | 6 | 05-11 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-10 16:02 |
| Hard-To-Find-Dig 0xb928…2d13 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 10:22 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 17:29 |
| Low-Pardon 0x0e70…bb75 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 16:38 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 17:29 |
| All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 10:53 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 16:18 |
| Equatorial-Bulldozer 0xef2e…10c3 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:22 |
| Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 11:20 |
| Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:00 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:00 |
| Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:00 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 06:39 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:56 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:37 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:04 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 17:59:17 | Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | Yes | BUY | 1,053 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x281259… |
| 05-11 17:29:14 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x02473d… |
| 05-11 17:29:14 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x1583f1… |
| 05-11 17:22:51 | Equatorial-Bulldozer 0xef2e…10c3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x51cab9… |
| 05-11 17:22:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x13c93b… |
| 05-11 17:22:30 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x69fc9c… |
| 05-11 17:12:18 | Satisfied-Robin 0x2ca6…b9d1 | No | BUY | 223 | 94¢ | $209 | 0x4447a2… |
| 05-11 17:07:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8cef34… |
| 05-11 17:07:41 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6b61bb… |
| 05-11 17:07:41 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x689ada… |
| 05-11 17:02:38 | Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | BUY | 128 | 22¢ | $28 | 0x7df277… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9482c… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3e9ce… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x421c7a… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5e72d… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcceb01… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4ac36d… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb4cb0d… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9415a7… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x67d7fa… |
| 05-11 16:56:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x76af8b… |
| 05-11 16:47:35 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xad148c… |
| 05-11 16:38:52 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x7ca5ce… |
| 05-11 16:38:47 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb9c9ec… |
| 05-11 16:38:42 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x18a326… |
| 05-11 16:38:40 | Low-Pardon 0x0e70…bb75 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x37c79f… |
| 05-11 16:38:36 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0fa16c… |
| 05-11 16:37:02 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6924c7… |
| 05-11 16:36:55 | Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x74a530… |
| 05-11 16:36:46 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xcc86e3… |
| 05-11 16:18:34 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb17a33… |
| 05-11 16:00:50 | Shrill-Exhibition 0x9cd5…33cf | Yes | BUY | 731 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x73f910… |
| 05-11 16:00:31 | Horrible-Hoof 0x8337…2827 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x72c497… |
| 05-11 10:53:08 | All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3cce63… |
| 05-11 10:22:00 | Hard-To-Find-Dig 0xb928…2d13 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xc2c258… |
| 05-11 06:39:19 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1d398… |
| 05-11 05:33:47 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5b2c6b… |
| 05-11 04:38:10 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8e57d… |
| 05-11 02:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x79923f… |
| 05-10 19:14:38 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52090a… |
| 05-10 16:02:17 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x6496c5… |
| 05-10 11:41:16 | Intentional-Tadpole 0x1cc1…a345 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8e4285… |
| 05-10 11:20:42 | Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa21ac7… |
| 05-10 03:00:44 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x284fa2… |
| 05-10 03:00:40 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xab22d8… |
| 05-10 03:00:35 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3e7875… |