Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$615
$3,712 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$160
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 21:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $30
vs crowd: 6% YES on $416)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $270 | $270 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $24 | $123 | $99 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $5 | $244 | $239 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $9 | $115 | $107 |
| Median | 4 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +188 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Pointless-Consignment 0x8bed…e6d2 | No | +104 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | +94 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | +52 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 23:36 |
| Wary-Elicit 0x0fe0…4014 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 14:49 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 02:55 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 02:45 |
| Happy-Employee 0xbbdd…b9d7 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 19:10 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 10:20 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 21:21 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 10:20 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 03:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:47:50 | (anonymous) 0xa7a1…a85e | No | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x1d8d84… |
| 05-09 19:12:36 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 188 | 100¢ | $188 | 0x3eb8a8… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x09d6e2… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x853d71… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc14c16… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1afe72… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdde91… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a86fe… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2f0ab… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46cb03… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4b9e0… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc1496… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fd1c5… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3beaf7… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x307685… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3299af… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf97392… |
| 05-09 14:08:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1ebf3… |
| 05-09 14:03:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcc4805… |
| 05-09 10:20:15 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x994da6… |
| 05-09 10:20:10 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x07c586… |
| 05-09 06:39:50 | Simplistic-Start 0x1163…28f8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce047f… |
| 05-09 05:34:50 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x997acd… |
| 05-09 03:59:45 | Pointless-Consignment 0x8bed…e6d2 | No | BUY | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0x092aff… |
| 05-09 03:43:42 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4afe0f… |
| 05-09 03:35:18 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 94 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x610265… |
| 05-09 03:33:33 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x5de051… |
| 05-09 03:25:44 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | SELL | 132 | 99¢ | $131 | 0x98b575… |
| 05-09 03:25:35 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x40d62a… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xadb22e… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x233352… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb71420… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabb286… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa4a86e… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc6c54… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64a8cb… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b70cc… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b980d… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e3383… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1cf7e… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x73e25a… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x74b80a… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb874a9… |
| 05-09 02:45:13 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa32d02… |
| 05-09 01:30:18 | (anonymous) 0xa7a1…a85e | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x93180e… |
| 05-08 23:36:45 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | BUY | 52 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xdd08a6… |
| 05-08 21:21:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x69c465… |
| 05-08 19:10:12 | Happy-Employee 0xbbdd…b9d7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x78bf74… |
| 05-08 17:27:28 | Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x795891… |
| 05-08 14:49:44 | Wary-Elicit 0x0fe0…4014 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xf72245… |