Will the Silver Bulletin Generic Congressional Ballot show Democrats +6.6–6.7% for August 24?
Yes won
Total volume
$385
Trades
38
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-08-24
First seen
2026-08-25
last 08-25 14:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $200
vs crowd: 95% YES on $380)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $278 | — | +$278 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $56 | — | +$56 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $10 | $17 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $17 | $2 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $200 | — | +$200 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $135 | $2 | +$133 |
| Median | 3 | $10 | $17 | $7 |
| Below median | 2 | $7 | $0 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | +236 | -$2 | $7 | 9 | 08-25 14:41 |
| Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | +136 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 08-25 12:42 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | +127 | $125 | $125 | 3 | 08-25 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | +90 | $17 | $17 | 11 | 08-25 14:39 |
| Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | +67 | $56 | $56 | 7 | 08-25 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-25 12:57 |
| Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 08-25 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-25 12:41 |
| Fearless-Arithmetic 0xf6f1…7da3 | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-25 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d86…32a4 | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-25 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8884…cc43 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-25 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aef…8949 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-25 12:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 14:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x2d86…32a4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x25889a… |
| 08-25 14:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25889a… |
| 08-25 14:40:39 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 100¢ | $69 | 0x0fa045… |
| 08-25 14:40:39 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fa045… |
| 08-25 14:39:15 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x2ebfb8… |
| 08-25 14:39:15 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x2ebfb8… |
| 08-25 14:30:39 | Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2f5755… |
| 08-25 14:30:39 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f5755… |
| 08-25 14:30:39 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xbedf03… |
| 08-25 14:30:39 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xbedf03… |
| 08-25 13:45:40 | Tough-Transit 0x8fff…0482 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xea79f4… |
| 08-25 13:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea79f4… |
| 08-25 12:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfcda7f… |
| 08-25 12:57:00 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xfcda7f… |
| 08-25 12:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc1626… |
| 08-25 12:45:40 | Fearless-Arithmetic 0xf6f1…7da3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xfc1626… |
| 08-25 12:42:06 | Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 99¢ | $135 | 0x034a0c… |
| 08-25 12:42:06 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 136 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x034a0c… |
| 08-25 12:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x0aef…8949 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7f1a21… |
| 08-25 12:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3449ce… |
| 08-25 12:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x8884…cc43 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3449ce… |
| 08-25 12:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f1a21… |
| 08-25 12:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbff13f… |
| 08-25 12:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbff13f… |
| 08-25 12:31:36 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xbc897e… |
| 08-25 12:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | No | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbc897e… |
| 08-25 12:31:16 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x9fd4d0… |
| 08-25 12:31:16 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x9fd4d0… |
| 08-25 12:30:34 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xecb44f… |
| 08-25 12:30:34 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xecb44f… |
| 08-25 09:54:34 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb06689… |
| 08-25 09:54:34 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xb06689… |
| 08-25 07:07:27 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x41589d… |
| 08-25 07:07:27 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x41589d… |
| 08-25 05:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x7a1801… |
| 08-25 05:46:12 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x7a1801… |
| 08-25 01:04:33 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x240929… |
| 08-25 01:04:33 | (anonymous) 0xdb24…496b | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x240929… |