Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$499
Trades
36
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$915
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-28 17:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $23 | $140 | $117 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $46 | $46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $33 | $31 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 2 | $12 | $19 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $57 | $53 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $46 | $45 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | U 85.5 | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-12 16:19 |
| Royal-Bowtie 0x36bf…2864 | U 85.5 | +35 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-28 17:45 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 85.5 | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 85.5 | +2 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 07-12 16:19 |
| Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | U 85.5 | +1 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-07 12:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 17:45:34 | Royal-Bowtie 0x36bf…2864 | U 85.5 | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xc423a6… |
| 07-28 17:45:34 | Appropriate-Executive 0x2d82…3a1b | U 85.5 | SELL | 15 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xc423a6… |
| 07-22 21:27:36 | Royal-Bowtie 0x36bf…2864 | U 85.5 | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x9ff152… |
| 07-22 21:27:36 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | U 85.5 | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x9ff152… |
| 07-22 20:59:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | O 85.5 | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xb11ba5… |
| 07-22 20:59:12 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | O 85.5 | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xb11ba5… |
| 07-16 22:17:49 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | O 85.5 | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x6ebd5e… |
| 07-16 22:17:49 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 85.5 | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x6ebd5e… |
| 07-16 22:17:49 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 85.5 | SELL | 68 | 76¢ | $51 | 0x6ebd5e… |
| 07-16 22:17:49 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 85.5 | SELL | 88 | 24¢ | $21 | 0x6ebd5e… |
| 07-16 04:52:04 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 85.5 | SELL | 78 | 80¢ | $62 | 0x715019… |
| 07-16 04:52:04 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 85.5 | SELL | 78 | 20¢ | $16 | 0x715019… |
| 07-16 00:19:44 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 85.5 | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xa4789e… |
| 07-16 00:19:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 85.5 | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xa4789e… |
| 07-13 18:33:02 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 85.5 | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0xbb6f2a… |
| 07-13 18:33:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | U 85.5 | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0xbb6f2a… |
| 07-12 19:00:46 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 85.5 | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xb4db8a… |
| 07-12 19:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | U 85.5 | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xb4db8a… |
| 07-12 19:00:46 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 85.5 | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xb4db8a… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | U 85.5 | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xca66ac… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 85.5 | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xca66ac… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | U 85.5 | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xca66ac… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | U 85.5 | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xca66ac… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | U 85.5 | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xca66ac… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 85.5 | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xca66ac… |
| 07-12 16:19:49 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 85.5 | BUY | 175 | 7¢ | $12 | 0xca66ac… |
| 06-10 23:43:40 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 85.5 | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0xfa121d… |
| 06-10 23:43:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 85.5 | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xfa121d… |
| 06-10 23:43:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 85.5 | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xfa121d… |
| 06-10 23:43:40 | Prickly-Lacquerware 0x8a80…c54c | O 85.5 | SELL | 53 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xfa121d… |
| 06-07 12:54:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | U 85.5 | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x911f00… |
| 06-07 12:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 85.5 | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x911f00… |
| 06-07 12:54:01 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | U 85.5 | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xc22d93… |
| 06-07 12:54:01 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | U 85.5 | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xc22d93… |
| 06-07 12:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 85.5 | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xc9ca43… |
| 06-07 12:53:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | U 85.5 | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xc9ca43… |