Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$1,389
Trades
42
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 04:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $64 | $64 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $684 | $50 | +$634 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $6 | $474 | $468 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $286 | $286 |
| Median | 5 | — | $186 | $186 |
| Below median | 8 | $1 | $30 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $748 | $64 | +$684 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +3,453 | $684 | $684 | 4 | 05-12 23:46 |
| Knowledgeable-Canoe 0x1f2d…8ca1 | No | +190 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 05-12 23:47 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +100 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-12 14:33 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +100 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-12 14:43 |
| Eminent-Dolman 0xd930…0eaa | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 03:42 |
| Authorized-Boxspring 0x20ac…2f2f | No | +63 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-12 23:47 |
| Carefree-Wrist 0x2b62…b626 | No | +63 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-12 23:47 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 03:31 |
| Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 05:10 |
| Silver-Fiesta 0xdd19…25a6 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3c5…907f | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 17:41 |
| Giddy-Mine 0xd152…95ab | No | +12 | $13 | $47 | 3 | 05-13 03:03 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | +2 | $2 | $8 | 8 | 05-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3a7…8102 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Spherical-Stack 0x42b3…455b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Afraid-Camp 0x970a…5c3e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7254…4aa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x50bc…8672 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 04:16:05 | Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa1cebf… |
| 05-13 03:42:24 | Eminent-Dolman 0xd930…0eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1350ed… |
| 05-13 03:31:26 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x4501e0… |
| 05-13 03:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x7254…4aa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5d1bdb… |
| 05-13 03:28:29 | Afraid-Camp 0x970a…5c3e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x570664… |
| 05-13 03:28:27 | (anonymous) 0x50bc…8672 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x477656… |
| 05-13 03:28:27 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x6377a1… |
| 05-13 03:28:27 | Spherical-Stack 0x42b3…455b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x341070… |
| 05-13 03:28:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3a7…8102 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4c3700… |
| 05-13 03:27:33 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0f19d1… |
| 05-13 03:26:27 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x60b3eb… |
| 05-13 03:23:33 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc73e39… |
| 05-13 03:21:33 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3a8892… |
| 05-13 03:16:26 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x6c71fb… |
| 05-13 03:06:24 | (anonymous) 0xd3c5…907f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x02404a… |
| 05-13 03:03:10 | Giddy-Mine 0xd152…95ab | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x37dd83… |
| 05-13 03:02:54 | Giddy-Mine 0xd152…95ab | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x1b9df9… |
| 05-13 03:02:04 | Giddy-Mine 0xd152…95ab | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xadc5e4… |
| 05-13 02:22:32 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1aad39… |
| 05-13 02:21:35 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x445fa0… |
| 05-13 02:07:43 | Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x01a3e9… |
| 05-13 01:11:50 | Silver-Fiesta 0xdd19…25a6 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x218433… |
| 05-13 00:41:16 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x43108a… |
| 05-13 00:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x182ff5… |
| 05-13 00:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x109dc1… |
| 05-13 00:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x889da9… |
| 05-13 00:21:32 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3a5c4c… |
| 05-13 00:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf26a1d… |
| 05-13 00:21:00 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7496ee… |
| 05-13 00:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xecdad9… |
| 05-12 23:47:01 | Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x98a2df… |
| 05-12 23:47:01 | Knowledgeable-Canoe 0x1f2d…8ca1 | No | BUY | 190 | 87¢ | $165 | 0xf9f2ed… |
| 05-12 23:47:01 | Carefree-Wrist 0x2b62…b626 | No | BUY | 63 | 87¢ | $55 | 0x0e114d… |
| 05-12 23:47:01 | Authorized-Boxspring 0x20ac…2f2f | No | BUY | 63 | 87¢ | $55 | 0x3b9780… |
| 05-12 23:46:58 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xec9b41… |
| 05-12 23:46:26 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf8813c… |
| 05-12 22:47:03 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x74929c… |
| 05-12 18:57:29 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 3,360 | 20¢ | $672 | 0xaa7ee4… |
| 05-12 17:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x25a153… |
| 05-12 14:43:14 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x476392… |
| 05-12 14:33:00 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0xf5a0a7… |
| 05-12 05:10:42 | Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x706219… |