Afraid-Camp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

Trades

6,072

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-08 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 38% $-3

Other

19% 50% $-2

Politics

6% — —

Sports

4% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+5	$4	92¢	$4	$-0	06-01 17:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$4	14¢	$2	$-3	06-03 08:46
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	06-01 17:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771107300	236	$99	82	70	+12	open	—	02-14 22:28
xrp updown 15m 1771108200	85	$72	60	28	+33	open	—	02-14 22:42
btc updown 15m 1771038000	87	$66	66	23	+44	open	—	02-14 03:14
btc updown 15m 1771109100	115	$65	71	31	+40	open	—	02-14 22:56
eth updown 15m 1771109100	82	$63	49	31	+18	open	—	02-14 22:57
btc updown 15m 1771101000	117	$55	63	42	+22	open	—	02-14 20:42
btc updown 15m 1771108200	85	$53	45	25	+20	open	—	02-14 22:41
btc updown 15m 1771029900	59	$49	38	35	+3	open	—	02-14 00:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 10pm et	2	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	02-14 03:53
btc updown 15m 1771106400	107	$46	41	37	+3	open	—	02-14 22:12
eth updown 15m 1771107300	59	$46	34	23	+11	open	—	02-14 22:26
btc updown 15m 1771112700	87	$44	41	32	+9	open	—	02-14 23:57
fl1 lil sbr 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	22	$40	46	17	+29	open	—	02-14 19:56
sol updown 15m 1771107300	63	$38	31	17	+14	open	—	02-14 22:26
eth updown 15m 1771106400	56	$37	33	17	+16	open	—	02-14 22:11
sol updown 15m 1771105500	39	$35	30	16	+14	open	—	02-14 21:56
xrp updown 15m 1771029900	8	$32	21	16	+5	open	—	02-14 00:55
xrp updown 15m 1771107300	56	$32	27	12	+15	open	—	02-14 22:26
eth updown 15m 1771108200	31	$32	29	12	+17	open	—	02-14 22:41
btc updown 15m 1771027200	93	$31	32	21	+11	open	—	02-14 00:12
cs2 furia b8 2026 02 14 game2	14	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	02-14 20:02
sol updown 15m 1771108200	44	$28	21	14	+7	open	—	02-14 22:39
btc updown 15m 1771105500	56	$28	26	18	+8	open	—	02-14 21:56
btc updown 15m 1771103700	146	$26	21	13	+7	open	—	02-14 21:26
eth updown 15m 1771112700	62	$25	26	13	+13	open	—	02-14 23:57
eth updown 15m 1771101000	57	$25	30	10	+19	open	—	02-14 20:41
xrp updown 15m 1771101000	59	$24	31	12	+18	open	—	02-14 20:41
eth updown 15m 1771099200	40	$24	26	17	+9	open	—	02-14 20:12
eth updown 15m 1771105500	29	$24	27	8	+19	open	—	02-14 21:56
sol updown 15m 1771109100	32	$23	31	6	+25	open	—	02-14 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:10:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf5fd58…
06-07 02:03:22	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb2c8d6…
06-07 01:52:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x337c2b…
06-07 01:51:30	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd7694f…
06-04 02:29:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe5c540…
06-04 02:29:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26c9f7…
06-03 08:46:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa0333f…
06-03 08:45:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe6f5b7…
06-03 08:45:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0d4fc7…
06-03 08:45:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb0bcaf…
06-02 05:12:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe40243…
06-01 17:50:20	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x24dcf4…
06-01 17:48:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8b2173…
06-01 17:48:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x46c21a…
06-01 17:48:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x11e226…
06-01 17:48:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe71fd2…
05-22 01:21:37	XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x222c69…
05-20 13:20:55	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x6ff0a8…
05-20 12:02:31	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x65c417…
05-20 03:26:18	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xa17700…
05-20 00:23:46	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x75d930…
05-20 00:23:06	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x968a77…
05-19 21:38:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x353b86…
05-19 21:37:44	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ba49d…
05-19 19:53:01	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x68ff95…
05-19 15:22:00	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x8e35c9…
05-19 12:35:42	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8aa28b…
05-19 11:18:52	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xce0a99…
05-19 08:03:11	Will Solana reach $90 on May 19?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2d43c1…
05-19 05:37:16	Will Solana reach $90 on May 19?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xa98b18…
05-19 05:20:58	Will Solana reach $90 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8445b6…
05-19 04:10:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x52ea01…
05-19 04:10:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xbf4e37…
05-18 13:43:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xe68ff6…
05-18 09:17:45	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x585cb4…
05-18 02:05:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87f7ed…
05-18 00:36:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x932edb…
05-17 23:50:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4ab67b…
05-17 23:49:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x12fb50…
05-17 23:47:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x73b1b4…
05-17 23:43:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x456917…
05-17 23:43:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaefdb0…
05-17 23:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb71f15…
05-17 23:42:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5dc2b9…
05-17 23:42:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c6781…
05-17 23:42:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xedca8c…
05-17 23:42:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a5004…
05-17 23:41:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a98cc…
05-17 23:40:40	Will Solana dip to $85 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d82f4…
05-17 23:13:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4cc38…
05-17 20:50:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 17?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x179769…
05-17 19:53:48	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08499a…
05-17 19:44:07	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fe0e0…
05-17 19:44:04	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fdde5…
05-17 19:30:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x859de2…
05-17 19:17:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb713a3…
05-17 19:03:03	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Athletic Club	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17ec4f…
05-17 19:01:57	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	Athletic Club	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1b0ea…
05-17 18:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xf183ba…
05-17 18:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xc99e59…
05-17 18:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xcefec2…
05-17 17:12:20	Will Solana reach $95 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfd9f05…
05-17 15:32:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x030913…
05-17 15:26:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3d493…
05-17 06:19:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x307c8f…
05-17 05:56:52	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb2b0ed…
05-17 05:56:52	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xabb5ce…
05-17 05:56:52	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x51a328…
05-17 05:56:52	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x43b5d6…
05-17 05:56:52	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x102352…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xffabde…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf504fb…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf2e783…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe66c0e…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd3dbe4…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc3f008…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbaa2fe…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x848a3d…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7af83c…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x70988c…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6cf93e…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x619083…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x56d198…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3028f2…
05-17 05:56:50	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1876d2…
05-17 05:56:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa2ecfd…
05-17 05:23:05	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x75803a…
05-17 05:22:57	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb28ed8…
05-17 05:22:55	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa578e0…
05-17 05:22:53	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9289bd…
05-17 05:22:51	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd94743…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe075ba…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xde1c6d…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb3c582…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x935f76…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x76d8a1…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6283b2…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1abe19…
05-17 05:22:48	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x067a52…
05-17 05:22:46	Will Solana reach $100 on May 17?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xed19b3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa	206	$12.3K	1,290	04-15 03:46
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	202	$691.9K	50,411	06-08 05:52
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	201	$65.2K	10,718	03-22 01:42
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	197	$235.2K	23,120	04-06 12:08
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	194	$29.2K	1,198	04-28 13:05
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	189	$286.1K	3,095	06-07 09:51
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	189	$5.21K	632	03-29 00:35
Tremendous-Closet 0x751a…9ea1	186	$1.98M	48,261	06-01 08:42