Realized P&L (24h)
-$147
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved (24h)
6
Trades (24h)
0
1,802 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$118.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$3.18K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 09:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
61% 89% +$449
Politics
24% 87% +$157
Crypto
8% 88% +$158
Tech
5% 85% +$85
Sports
2% 88% +$51
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1,471 $1,321 90¢ $1.3K +$3 10-26 22:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +562 $517 94¢ $531 +$14 10-26 20:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -375 -$349 98¢ $-367 -$18 06-04 16:26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -315 -$290 96¢ $-303 -$14 06-04 17:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +196 $171 82¢ $160 -$11 10-26 22:22
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$1 09-15 16:18
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -93 -$86 99¢ $-91 -$5 10-14 03:11
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -92 -$81 94¢ $-87 -$6 05-23 03:05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +90 $64 72¢ $65 +$1 10-31 09:36
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +62 $41 90¢ $56 +$15 07-12 20:50
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$5 10-13 18:34
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +22 $21 98¢ $22 +$1 09-15 16:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 -$21 97¢ $-10 +$11 09-06 19:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +20 $14 38¢ $8 -$6 08-23 00:02
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +62 $32 10¢ $6 -$26 10-26 22:22
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +62 $19 10¢ $6 -$12 07-12 20:50