Realized P&L (7d)
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
6
1,799 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.03K
$117.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$3.51K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
61% 89% +$534
Politics
25% 87% +$156
Crypto
8% 88% +$158
Tech
5% 88% +$146
Sports
2% 88% +$51
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1,471 $1,321 96¢ $1.4K +$84 10-26 22:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +562 $517 92¢ $520 +$3 10-26 20:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -375 -$349 97¢ $-362 -$13 06-04 16:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +326 $250 97¢ $315 +$65 10-26 20:20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -315 -$290 96¢ $-301 -$11 06-04 17:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +196 $171 87¢ $171 +$0 10-26 22:22
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$2 09-15 16:18
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -93 -$86 98¢ $-91 -$5 10-14 03:11
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -92 -$81 89¢ $-82 -$1 05-23 03:05
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +62 $41 94¢ $59 +$18 07-12 20:50
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$5 10-13 18:34
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +22 $21 98¢ $22 +$1 09-15 16:15
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +10 $75 100¢ $10 -$65 08-12 20:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 -$21 96¢ $-10 +$11 09-06 19:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +20 $14 34¢ $7 -$7 08-23 00:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +35 $29 14¢ $5 -$24 10-20 20:58
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +62 $32 6¢ $3 -$29 10-26 22:22
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +62 $19 4¢ $3 -$16 07-12 20:50
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 09-05 10:34