Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
127
Trades
191
lifetime
Volume
$655
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$17
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-12 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
52% 48% -$28
Other
37% 46% +$12
Sports
7% 50% +$13
Crypto
4% 17% -$9
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-03 03:06
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3 -$2 88¢ $-3 $0 05-09 21:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3 -$3 84¢ $-2 +$1 07-02 04:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 10-12 16:49
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -6 -$2 22¢ $-1 +$0 05-09 21:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-03 03:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 10-12 16:48
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +43 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 05-03 03:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +15 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-06 16:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-12 16:48