Brisk-Melatonin 0x014e43…913794
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
183
Trades
405
lifetime
Volume
$73.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
$4.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-21 19:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
59% 82% +$173
Politics
41% 75% -$193
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Crypto
0% 33% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +417 $400 100¢ $416 +$16 09-28 07:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +366 $300 94¢ $346 +$46 05-18 19:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -353 -$328 94¢ $-330 -$2 08-21 06:56
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +333 $300 96¢ $321 +$21 09-25 23:13
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -416 -$230 68¢ $-285 -$55 09-19 10:16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +272 $200 98¢ $267 +$67 06-03 14:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +261 $220 94¢ $246 +$26 08-22 13:54
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -251 -$222 92¢ $-229 -$7 09-21 16:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +227 $200 96¢ $219 +$19 10-14 14:43
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +240 $200 87¢ $209 +$9 09-21 16:09
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +247 $200 84¢ $206 +$6 08-21 06:56
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +220 $200 93¢ $204 +$4 10-17 23:15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +209 $200 97¢ $202 +$2 09-21 16:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +153 $147 99¢ $152 +$5 09-29 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +135 $50 88¢ $120 +$70 07-12 14:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +161 $100 72¢ $115 +$15 09-25 23:12
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +116 $100 97¢ $113 +$13 06-10 22:14
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +108 $120 99¢ $106 -$13 10-14 14:42
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +120 $100 86¢ $104 +$4 10-02 11:01
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +110 $100 86¢ $94 -$6 10-14 14:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +65 $60 96¢ $62 +$2 09-21 19:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +180 $50 32¢ $59 +$9 09-28 21:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +121 $70 42¢ $51 -$19 09-27 00:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +236 $70 18¢ $41 -$29 07-25 09:22
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +87 $20 38¢ $34 +$14 08-24 23:22
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +33 $24 72¢ $24 $0 09-19 00:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +65 $50 18¢ $12 -$38 04-28 21:23
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +370 $10 3¢ $11 +$1 08-17 22:44
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +294 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 10-10 09:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +227 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 07-20 22:26