(anonymous) 0x017486…5795b0
5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
42.1%
Resolved
38
Trades
79
lifetime
Volume
$790
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$178
16 positions
First seen
2026-09-16
last 11-01 11:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
66% 48% +$3
Politics
28% 30% -$41
Tech
6% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +56 $10 99¢ $55 +$45 09-17 07:35
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $10 43¢ $18 +$8 09-18 23:54
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $10 28¢ $13 +$3 09-22 20:02
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +24 $10 53¢ $13 +$3 10-15 14:46
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +18 $10 65¢ $12 +$2 10-22 14:38
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +17 $10 57¢ $10 $0 10-29 14:54
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +24 $10 38¢ $9 -$1 10-07 03:40
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +26 $10 32¢ $9 -$1 10-29 11:39
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +59 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 10-17 16:14
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +62 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 10-16 21:52
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +36 $10 18¢ $7 -$3 10-07 03:40
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +77 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 09-20 07:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $10 12¢ $4 -$6 09-19 06:54
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +31 $10 12¢ $4 -$6 10-06 05:08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +22 $10 11¢ $2 -$8 09-20 08:11
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +100 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 10-12 02:26