Sardonic-Optimization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

195

Trades

982

lifetime

Volume

$4.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-05 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

60% 62% +$74

Sports

34% 60% -$49

Politics

6% 12% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	86	$670	647	315	+331	Bilibili Gaming	+$12	04-26 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	28	$413	254	254	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	4	$148	75	75	+0	No	+$2	05-07 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	19	$133	98	98	+0	Yes	+$41	05-02 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	9	$115	67	67	+0	No	+$9	05-07 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	4	$98	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-06 09:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	8	$90	45	75	-30	No	-$8	04-25 04:23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?	66	$87	145	30	+115	No	-$10	05-05 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?	11	$84	54	53	+0	No	+$6	05-04 02:00
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	22	$83	216	0	+216	Chicago White Sox	+$41	04-28 05:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	7	$67	40	40	+0	Yes	+$10	05-07 11:24
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	18	$67	128	0	+128	San Diego Padres	-$12	04-28 04:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	9	$67	96	96	+0	No	-$3	04-25 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 7?	2	$66	69	0	+69	No	+$2	05-07 07:17
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	14	$57	114	0	+114	Los Angeles Dodgers	-$47	04-28 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	8	$57	83	73	+10	Yes	-$16	05-04 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	10	$55	65	34	+31	No	-$1	05-02 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$54	47	47	+0	No	-$1	04-23 12:10
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	9	$51	38	38	+0	No	+$23	04-30 02:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	7	$49	43	43	+0	No	-$1	04-25 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	2	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-07 08:40
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	12	$43	75	0	+75	Colorado Rockies	+$10	04-26 19:17
Pistons vs. Magic	9	$42	102	0	+102	Magic	-$24	04-28 02:34
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	9	$40	70	0	+70	Boston Red Sox	-$7	04-28 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	5	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-01 07:54
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins	9	$38	64	0	+64	Minnesota Twins	+$5	04-28 00:35
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	9	$38	48	47	+1	Global Esports	-$5	05-02 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	7	$37	35	11	+24	Yes	+$3	05-05 07:32
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5	10	$35	69	0	+69	Over	+$3	04-27 04:05
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	12	$35	91	0	+91	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$11	04-26 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 03:51:27	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x8a91d2…
05-11 05:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5e0181…
05-09 08:23:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21805a…
05-09 05:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 9?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x8e0110…
05-09 05:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x964ef4…
05-08 23:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x08c46c…
05-08 13:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xce9227…
05-08 05:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5c5f9e…
05-08 04:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb05eec…
05-08 04:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xec641f…
05-08 01:17:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3d2d69…
05-08 01:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x9932b6…
05-08 01:05:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xee78c7…
05-08 00:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x18b111…
05-08 00:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xb4c9cb…
05-08 00:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x4b3fbd…
05-07 21:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x31aae5…
05-07 17:08:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x8f0688…
05-07 16:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc31c0b…
05-07 16:24:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x711a0a…
05-07 16:19:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x480f58…
05-07 16:19:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x17f4ba…
05-07 16:19:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xee7f23…
05-07 16:19:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xf1f1eb…
05-07 16:19:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x24cf98…
05-07 16:18:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x0ab57b…
05-07 16:17:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4236b1…
05-07 16:03:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x6f1b28…
05-07 16:01:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd466ee…
05-07 16:00:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x972659…
05-07 15:51:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5f17e1…
05-07 13:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x56df9b…
05-07 13:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7c4503…
05-07 11:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4fdefe…
05-07 11:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x279954…
05-07 11:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x90cf19…
05-07 11:24:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xc51cc7…
05-07 11:13:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x565002…
05-07 10:16:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9f859d…
05-07 10:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe00314…
05-07 10:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x41f873…
05-07 08:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xac2fdb…
05-07 08:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xb1fac8…
05-07 07:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 7?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x4270c3…
05-07 06:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0520da…
05-07 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x718623…
05-07 05:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2699ca…
05-07 05:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x84ca98…
05-07 05:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc211bd…
05-07 05:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x82de81…
05-07 05:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xa7ac0f…
05-07 05:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0e9b2c…
05-07 05:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe164e2…
05-07 05:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x3ef1a6…
05-07 05:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc2cdbf…
05-07 04:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x63aee5…
05-07 04:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x99bc67…
05-07 04:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x41cd1e…
05-07 04:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83b964…
05-07 04:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xea5e56…
05-07 02:43:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xffc1e0…
05-07 02:43:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5f4555…
05-07 01:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x4e4824…
05-07 01:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3c6906…
05-07 01:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x84a634…
05-06 16:52:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x85de78…
05-06 16:26:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6fd686…
05-06 16:25:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x58659f…
05-06 16:11:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55b2ff…
05-06 12:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0x6f5099…
05-06 12:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0x349dab…
05-06 10:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4c68be…
05-06 10:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xf018b8…
05-06 09:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x70e47c…
05-06 09:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc8ab06…
05-06 09:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc8334a…
05-06 09:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x06f3fa…
05-06 09:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3dd38d…
05-06 09:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x3aa07d…
05-06 09:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0x13a9c6…
05-06 09:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x71578a…
05-06 09:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9fdc10…
05-06 08:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x438cda…
05-06 08:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd43628…
05-06 08:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x3d6386…
05-06 08:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0ee436…
05-06 08:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x326827…
05-06 08:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	103	84¢	$86	0x952e2b…
05-06 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x9ddfec…
05-06 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3f77d9…
05-06 07:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe1ffc7…
05-06 07:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd81b94…
05-06 07:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb7a93f…
05-06 07:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa8f4d3…
05-06 07:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x12c7bc…
05-06 07:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd08add…
05-06 07:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5b297e…
05-06 07:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xda942f…
05-06 07:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xb95ee1…
05-06 07:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xe91fb1…