Safe-Spring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$374

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-28 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 0% $-1

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	29	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	-0	open	—	07-25 07:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 03:19
ebola pandemic in 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 07:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-13 02:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-24 06:10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 07:42
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:41
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:55
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-20 08:42
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 08:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 06:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:05
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-24 08:30
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:57
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:37
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:16
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:57
fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:13
bkcl jov wue 2026 03 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:27:18	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6fec3c…
07-28 07:16:22	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd8a616…
07-27 09:33:37	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd7895…
07-27 09:32:43	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf9fe01…
07-27 09:13:55	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93011a…
07-27 09:12:27	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc8a83…
07-25 07:06:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce54cc…
07-25 06:49:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9a3fe…
07-24 08:30:48	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb6e046…
07-24 08:30:16	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcdd106…
07-24 08:22:01	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff1e73…
07-24 08:21:01	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3369a6…
07-23 09:06:10	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdbd043…
07-23 09:05:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x17053a…
07-23 08:43:25	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7088f0…
07-23 08:36:57	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb54df3…
07-22 10:05:34	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ce15d…
07-22 09:15:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xecde10…
07-22 09:10:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff3427…
07-22 09:07:57	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5642c4…
07-21 07:24:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x475dc1…
07-21 07:15:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe92b23…
07-20 08:43:18	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6e3b82…
07-20 08:42:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x95f573…
07-20 08:34:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8494f6…
07-20 08:31:37	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20fe13…
07-18 07:42:43	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd2c166…
07-18 07:28:57	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad7eae…
07-17 04:25:34	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd1e0b1…
07-17 03:54:33	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8f25bf…
07-16 02:57:32	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x92bf32…
07-16 02:57:08	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xee4ebe…
07-16 02:49:02	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xede095…
07-16 02:48:11	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6e05e…
07-15 07:42:43	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4376b6…
07-15 07:42:17	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe64bf5…
07-15 07:21:23	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb89f8e…
07-15 07:20:32	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55509b…
07-14 04:40:02	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa0190d…
07-14 04:39:28	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb881d7…
07-14 04:20:32	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8fdac…
07-14 04:19:10	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb9f612…
07-13 08:42:31	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbed74b…
07-13 08:42:08	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5886d0…
07-13 08:32:35	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeeb8ca…
07-13 08:31:47	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90b09f…
07-11 07:55:40	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b7644…
07-11 07:55:04	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf2919f…
07-11 07:43:10	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xddb604…
07-11 07:42:08	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x037d81…
07-10 06:57:44	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4c77ed…
07-10 06:57:16	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x92fe39…
07-10 06:43:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4d7bc7…
07-10 06:41:29	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21ab90…
07-09 03:02:52	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x70ab0c…
07-09 03:02:11	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6953b8…
07-09 02:50:01	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4998b…
07-09 02:49:16	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x50d17f…
07-08 06:13:38	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe30b64…
07-08 06:12:50	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfe9208…
07-08 04:52:32	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c89e8…
07-08 04:51:23	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x211c0f…
07-07 04:37:22	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0721f3…
07-07 04:17:58	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfeb727…
07-07 04:09:19	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a5041…
07-06 07:18:01	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x684a93…
07-06 07:17:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe546f9…
07-06 07:03:10	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad99c1…
07-06 07:00:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda3b08…
07-04 03:59:35	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7a638d…
07-04 03:51:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c016f…
07-04 03:45:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x893270…
07-04 03:44:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe87540…
07-03 07:49:40	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf465eb…
07-03 07:49:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0c8613…
07-03 07:43:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x870f82…
07-03 07:43:08	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x679914…
07-02 06:47:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5d8897…
07-02 06:42:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5c4476…
07-01 03:22:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x53ebac…
07-01 03:21:29	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdbba05…
07-01 03:15:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c0803…
07-01 03:13:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x188de1…
06-30 06:52:53	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x40d683…
06-30 06:52:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4dd21e…
06-30 06:47:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x295042…
06-30 06:45:13	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32c5b7…
06-29 09:47:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf055bc…
06-29 09:34:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9fb407…
06-27 03:44:08	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc85163…
06-27 03:43:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f96b8…
06-27 03:38:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd1739…
06-27 03:36:16	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x527657…
06-26 08:09:56	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7eaafa…
06-26 08:09:17	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4575ab…
06-26 07:57:41	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdd12e…
06-26 07:56:44	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6562d2…
06-24 06:10:58	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x966dea…
06-24 06:10:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xacbb76…
06-24 04:48:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70bc80…