Safe-Spring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$317

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-08 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-1

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	29	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 03:19
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-13 02:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-24 06:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-04 03:51
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:41
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 08:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 06:47
ebola pandemic in 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:12
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:37
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:16
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:13
bkcl jov wue 2026 03 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 09:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-16 03:10
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:33
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 06:34
us strikes yemen by december 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-03 07:55
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 06:13:38	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe30b64…
07-08 06:12:50	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfe9208…
07-08 04:52:32	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c89e8…
07-08 04:51:23	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x211c0f…
07-07 04:37:22	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0721f3…
07-07 04:17:58	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfeb727…
07-07 04:09:19	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a5041…
07-06 07:18:01	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x684a93…
07-06 07:17:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe546f9…
07-06 07:03:10	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad99c1…
07-06 07:00:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda3b08…
07-04 03:59:35	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7a638d…
07-04 03:51:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c016f…
07-04 03:45:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x893270…
07-04 03:44:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe87540…
07-03 07:49:40	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf465eb…
07-03 07:49:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0c8613…
07-03 07:43:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x870f82…
07-03 07:43:08	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x679914…
07-02 06:47:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5d8897…
07-02 06:42:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5c4476…
07-01 03:22:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x53ebac…
07-01 03:21:29	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdbba05…
07-01 03:15:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c0803…
07-01 03:13:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x188de1…
06-30 06:52:53	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x40d683…
06-30 06:52:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4dd21e…
06-30 06:47:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x295042…
06-30 06:45:13	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32c5b7…
06-29 09:47:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf055bc…
06-29 09:34:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9fb407…
06-27 03:44:08	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc85163…
06-27 03:43:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f96b8…
06-27 03:38:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd1739…
06-27 03:36:16	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x527657…
06-26 08:09:56	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7eaafa…
06-26 08:09:17	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4575ab…
06-26 07:57:41	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdd12e…
06-26 07:56:44	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6562d2…
06-24 06:10:58	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x966dea…
06-24 06:10:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xacbb76…
06-24 04:48:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70bc80…
06-24 04:47:01	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc59966…
06-23 06:08:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x97804d…
06-23 04:58:53	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a46a0…
06-22 02:57:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa81515…
06-22 02:50:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x432dc4…
06-21 06:56:08	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f5aa0…
06-21 06:55:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46379c…
06-21 06:16:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa839c7…
06-21 04:56:05	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60b0f0…
06-18 07:11:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x292ddf…
06-18 07:10:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe8c5d8…
06-18 07:03:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5bbb43…
06-18 06:59:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa617b…
06-17 04:38:28	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe3af7c…
06-17 04:37:55	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb79c0e…
06-17 04:31:49	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0db15f…
06-17 04:30:13	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18d2de…
06-16 03:10:52	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x806b16…
06-16 03:10:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xecf293…
06-16 02:51:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68b048…
06-16 02:47:12	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2f932a…
06-15 07:16:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1e8039…
06-15 06:36:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7fffa2…
06-13 02:48:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65056a…
06-13 02:47:19	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xebc9b1…
06-12 06:53:00	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x689514…
06-12 06:52:10	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x534895…
06-12 06:40:39	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x45d0b9…
06-12 06:39:37	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58458a…
06-11 04:48:15	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x06d731…
06-11 04:46:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x41426f…
06-11 04:35:31	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x864e83…
06-11 04:34:39	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa558e1…
06-10 06:13:22	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x650253…
06-10 06:12:45	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf126e8…
06-10 04:44:57	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbb9ad5…
06-10 04:42:51	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x838561…
06-10 04:35:45	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2792b…
06-10 04:32:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26392b…
06-09 06:31:07	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0de75f…
06-09 06:28:27	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x716e1b…
06-08 06:15:48	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9fe8f…
06-08 04:55:58	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f3fc2…
06-06 03:36:16	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe4dccd…
06-06 03:35:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x834d61…
06-06 03:30:09	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb1205c…
06-06 03:29:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x797011…
06-05 03:11:25	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f6639…
06-05 03:02:51	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8d154…
06-04 07:44:28	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x26d91f…
06-04 07:43:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc084f6…
06-04 07:34:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3de2e…
06-04 07:31:45	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad898c…
06-03 07:20:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48ac94…
06-03 07:19:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xabf019…
06-03 06:58:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f8270…
06-03 06:57:44	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1acd5b…
06-02 03:38:29	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf46c72…