Realized P&L
+$839
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
1,591
Trades
3,987
lifetime
Volume
$195.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$300
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 291 days
Categories
Other
70% 52% +$841
Tech
20% 32% -$168
Politics
6% 32% -$199
Sports
2% 53% +$371
Crypto
2% 54% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +151 $150 100¢ $150 +$0 10-27 21:17
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,000 $25 1¢ $58 +$32 09-02 23:45
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,111 $20 2¢ $22 +$2 09-21 21:49
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +92 $19 19¢ $17 -$2 10-04 17:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $10 30¢ $15 +$6 10-09 11:47
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +300 $10 3¢ $9 $0 10-06 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $20 12¢ $8 -$12 09-20 22:17
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -100 -$23 4¢ $-4 +$19 05-01 09:33
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +169 $20 2¢ $4 -$16 09-29 21:51
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 09-22 06:01
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -50 -$14 6¢ $-3 +$11 05-25 16:17
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 05-27 18:32
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +1,000 $12 0¢ $1 -$10 10-01 05:41
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +359 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 10-02 15:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-04 16:06