Fabulous-Occasion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$159

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

53 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$596

$669 lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% $-154

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (3)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	10	$152	103	109	-5	open	—	05-14 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	3	$109	64	57	+7	No	$-2	05-10 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	2	$74	50	155	-105	Yes	$-178	05-11 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	5	$52	64	28	+36	No	$-3	05-13 02:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	10	$50	72	98	-25	open	—	05-14 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	05-10 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	05-12 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	2	$27	30	0	+30	No	+$3	05-08 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 11?	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$1	05-10 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	2	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	05-07 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 10?	1	$13	0	14	-14	No	$-1	05-10 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?	2	$10	38	0	+38	Yes	+$28	05-12 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	$-10	05-12 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 8?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	05-08 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 14?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	05-06 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 11?	1	$4	0	4	-4	No	$-0	05-10 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 11?	1	$3	0	5	-5	No	$-2	05-10 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 6?	1	$3	0	5	-5	No	$-2	05-06 01:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-06 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?	1	$2	45	0	+45	No	$-2	05-12 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	1	$0	0	1	-1	Yes	$-1	05-09 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 7?	1	$0	0	3	-3	No	+$0	05-06 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x54341b…
05-14 01:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x77148c…
05-14 01:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xf53138…
05-14 01:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x0abd30…
05-14 01:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x2ef90c…
05-14 01:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x613161…
05-13 23:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xe4e975…
05-13 23:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xf740ea…
05-13 23:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x1d6098…
05-13 23:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0x465ade…
05-13 22:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbde08f…
05-13 22:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbceb7a…
05-13 22:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x64967e…
05-13 22:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x0f9209…
05-13 22:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8d2b58…
05-13 22:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xb6a110…
05-13 22:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x572f26…
05-13 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf48f7e…
05-13 22:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb058d4…
05-13 22:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x763a12…
05-13 22:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xe98a79…
05-13 02:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xb359ab…
05-12 11:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	28	73¢	$21	0x5701f6…
05-12 09:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xf64b3c…
05-12 08:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xaab4fc…
05-12 08:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3400fe…
05-12 08:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x299b47…
05-12 01:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x15c197…
05-12 00:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xc0c656…
05-12 00:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xc4f212…
05-12 00:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x22db52…
05-11 03:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	155	16¢	$26	0xcde25b…
05-10 22:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa5c725…
05-10 14:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 11?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa95c95…
05-10 13:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xe56684…
05-10 12:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x93df89…
05-10 10:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xa0e26c…
05-10 10:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x372666…
05-10 09:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 10?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xed03db…
05-09 10:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xa66dd7…
05-09 04:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x1bde6b…
05-09 00:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0x163344…
05-08 09:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x407f45…
05-08 09:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x82dfde…
05-08 00:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x60b53e…
05-07 13:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xda7838…
05-07 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd009bb…
05-07 09:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x86f11f…
05-06 19:55:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x41bb59…
05-06 19:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x90074e…
05-06 18:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x9b3472…
05-06 01:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2f795…
05-06 01:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xbe7501…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d	6	$838	18	05-11 03:00
Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4	4	$2.38K	4	05-14 08:59
Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8	4	$603	5	05-09 15:39