Fabulous-Occasion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

14 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$148

$148 lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 83% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No		-27	$-24	88¢	$-24	+$1	05-09 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	2	$76	30	57	-27	open	—	05-09 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	2	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	05-08 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	2	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	05-07 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 8?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	05-08 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	05-06 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 6?	1	$3	0	5	-5	No	$-2	05-06 01:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-06 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	1	$0	0	1	-1	open	—	05-09 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 7?	1	$0	0	3	-3	No	+$0	05-06 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 10:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xa66dd7…
05-09 04:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x1bde6b…
05-09 00:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0x163344…
05-08 09:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x407f45…
05-08 09:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x82dfde…
05-08 00:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 8?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x60b53e…
05-07 13:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xda7838…
05-07 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd009bb…
05-07 09:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x86f11f…
05-06 19:55:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x41bb59…
05-06 19:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x90074e…
05-06 18:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x9b3472…
05-06 01:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2f795…
05-06 01:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xbe7501…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8	4	$603	5	05-09 15:39
Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d	4	$562	11	05-07 13:46