Rosy-Stall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-09 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$1

Politics

42% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$2.2K	1,112	1,112	+0	open	—	04-17 03:09
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	No	+$1	04-16 02:02
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	9	$924	589	589	+0	open	—	06-03 10:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$624	579	579	+0	open	—	05-30 21:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	10	$610	474	474	+0	open	—	06-02 01:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	5	$429	403	403	+0	open	—	06-04 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	2	$345	195	195	+0	open	—	04-23 02:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$333	183	183	+0	open	—	06-09 11:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$323	334	162	+172	open	—	05-26 21:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$318	486	486	+0	open	—	05-31 03:35
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$311	175	175	+0	open	—	04-22 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	3	$309	177	177	+0	open	—	04-21 21:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$305	233	233	+0	open	—	05-24 12:08
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$303	226	226	+0	open	—	06-08 16:52
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$297	150	150	+0	open	—	05-30 04:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$196	338	338	+0	open	—	06-05 18:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$188	329	329	+0	open	—	06-09 22:48
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	4	$132	536	536	+0	open	—	04-25 00:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$122	342	341	+1	open	—	05-28 08:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$89	46	46	+0	open	—	06-09 02:07
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$80	83	83	+0	open	—	04-27 00:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$75	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	04-15 00:16
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	06-02 08:45
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$58	2,216	2,216	+0	open	—	04-15 13:29
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$18	570	570	+0	No	+$1	04-15 21:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$16	159	159	+0	open	—	05-16 22:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$15	172	172	+0	open	—	05-23 09:13
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$15	169	169	+0	open	—	06-07 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:48:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	329	29¢	$95	0x1bdff3…
06-09 21:45:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	194	28¢	$54	0xc53f6f…
06-09 21:45:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x9ab33b…
06-09 21:45:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x2a397c…
06-09 11:16:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	183	91¢	$167	0xf78eb3…
06-09 08:18:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	183	91¢	$167	0x982d3a…
06-09 02:07:12	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x3e333a…
06-08 23:15:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xb8cff2…
06-08 16:52:39	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	226	67¢	$151	0x0f4072…
06-08 15:20:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xfe0839…
06-08 15:19:55	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	218	67¢	$146	0x84d207…
06-07 03:19:07	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	169	4¢	$7	0x88734a…
06-07 01:28:15	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	169	4¢	$7	0x885a14…
06-05 18:25:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	338	29¢	$98	0x252d72…
06-05 01:02:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	338	29¢	$98	0x38a1f5…
06-04 20:28:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x26fff0…
06-04 20:28:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	157	31¢	$49	0xeeb115…
06-04 19:17:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0xd18d93…
06-03 10:44:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0xed7afd…
06-03 10:44:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	70	78¢	$55	0x60637c…
06-03 10:44:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	112	78¢	$87	0x0f0b68…
06-03 07:05:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0xb425e3…
06-03 07:05:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x989315…
06-02 21:52:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	201	82¢	$164	0xe66296…
06-02 20:19:41	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	201	82¢	$165	0x65b815…
06-02 08:45:54	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe52299…
06-02 04:39:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x1bccbe…
06-02 01:59:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xd81f34…
06-02 01:59:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xbf34a1…
06-02 01:59:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x659d69…
06-02 01:59:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x3bb192…
06-01 21:56:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0x07bbc7…
06-01 16:13:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x86be61…
06-01 16:13:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0x7e1881…
06-01 14:51:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0x772edd…
05-31 16:44:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	166	4¢	$6	0xd00be8…
05-31 15:02:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	166	4¢	$7	0xea2c1c…
05-31 03:35:11	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	332	3¢	$10	0x0f6fbc…
05-31 02:22:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	332	3¢	$10	0x6a38a9…
05-30 21:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xeeda77…
05-30 21:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	216	50¢	$108	0xe3c4b9…
05-30 21:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	105	50¢	$52	0xdde919…
05-30 21:34:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	329	50¢	$164	0xc84e71…
05-30 09:08:15	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	238	69¢	$164	0x529b8f…
05-30 09:07:30	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	238	69¢	$164	0x3438fe…
05-30 04:40:35	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x29128e…
05-29 23:54:56	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x33e615…
05-29 19:25:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	154	97¢	$149	0x463a31…
05-29 15:33:32	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$149	0xc46090…
05-29 10:20:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	195	76¢	$149	0x6e854b…
05-29 06:51:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	195	76¢	$147	0x418fb8…
05-29 02:47:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	181	59¢	$107	0x9eb24b…
05-29 02:47:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	69	59¢	$41	0x915a9c…
05-29 00:54:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x75a81d…
05-28 08:30:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	121	8¢	$10	0xc13281…
05-28 07:05:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0x99cd2b…
05-26 21:47:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	172	87¢	$149	0xa0d705…
05-24 16:51:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	220	21¢	$47	0x06d2c8…
05-24 16:42:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x7fef17…
05-24 16:42:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	195	24¢	$47	0x80b758…
05-24 12:08:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	66¢	$154	0x9de1c6…
05-24 10:15:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	65¢	$121	0xd28c5f…
05-24 10:15:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	65¢	$31	0x55bc37…
05-23 14:57:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	162	59¢	$96	0x3c220c…
05-23 12:58:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	118	48¢	$57	0xf1b3b1…
05-23 12:58:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x16fbca…
05-23 09:13:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x2154c3…
05-23 09:13:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	169	4¢	$7	0x0284b8…
05-23 06:56:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0x023ade…
05-23 06:56:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x6a57f1…
05-16 22:22:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	159	5¢	$8	0x42a609…
05-16 22:21:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	159	5¢	$7	0xf860b5…
04-27 00:37:54	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	39	48¢	$19	0xc73488…
04-27 00:37:54	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x598534…
04-26 20:36:20	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	83	49¢	$41	0xb7f68b…
04-25 00:25:44	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	168	12¢	$20	0x8ffcdd…
04-25 00:25:44	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	159	12¢	$19	0x36a41c…
04-25 00:25:44	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	209	12¢	$25	0x11c3af…
04-24 20:38:14	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	536	13¢	$68	0x9bcb84…
04-23 02:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	195	89¢	$174	0xaa19f7…
04-23 00:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	195	88¢	$171	0x66ac92…
04-22 10:50:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	159	89¢	$142	0xaeb921…
04-22 10:50:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x00e6b5…
04-22 08:37:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	175	89¢	$155	0x86831a…
04-21 21:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	177	88¢	$155	0x1c6cb8…
04-21 07:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0xfc8989…
04-21 07:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	114	87¢	$99	0xc01f79…
04-17 03:09:40	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	1,112	99¢	$1,099	0x52e26a…
04-17 00:56:48	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	1,112	99¢	$1,099	0x1f3886…
04-16 02:02:56	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1,014	98¢	$999	0xa48ace…
04-15 23:13:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,014	98¢	$998	0xf79f0a…
04-15 21:47:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	570	2¢	$9	0xafe233…
04-15 19:16:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	570	2¢	$9	0x56dc4d…
04-15 13:29:16	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	2,216	1¢	$29	0xc499f7…
04-15 10:58:20	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	2,216	1¢	$29	0xa2fa73…
04-15 00:16:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x3c0ff5…
04-15 00:16:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	1,091	4¢	$38	0xc4dc65…
04-14 22:04:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	1,097	3¢	$36	0x533e3e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	28	$310.4K	4,880	06-10 04:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	28	$146.4K	12,397	06-10 04:47
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	26	$1.18M	20,770	06-10 04:51
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	24	$306.3K	3,767	06-10 03:54
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	24	$14.7K	330	06-09 08:04
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	22	$48.9K	13,504	06-10 04:48
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	21	$3.77K	1,046	06-07 20:16
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	20	$79.7K	1,025	06-09 16:37