Infatuated-Expertise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 08-05 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 48% +$5

Politics

16% 53% +$1

Other

6% 50% $-10

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 5m 1772459400	2	$147	83	83	+1	Down	+$13	03-02 13:54
sol updown 5m 1772669100	3	$134	120	89	+31	Down	$-42	03-05 00:09
sol updown 5m 1772669700	3	$66	163	42	+121	Up	$-5	03-05 00:17
btc updown 5m 1772053800	1	$65	67	0	+67	Down	+$3	02-25 21:13
btc updown 5m 1772052900	1	$64	65	0	+65	Down	+$1	02-25 20:59
btc updown 5m 1772052600	1	$61	64	0	+64	Down	+$3	02-25 20:53
btc updown 5m 1772052000	1	$58	62	0	+62	Up	+$4	02-25 20:44
btc updown 5m 1772051700	1	$56	58	0	+58	Down	+$1	02-25 20:38
sol updown 5m 1772461200	6	$50	43	29	+14	Up	$-5	03-02 14:24
sol updown 5m 1771562700	1	$44	53	0	+53	Down	+$9	02-20 04:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$38	109	109	+0	open	—	08-05 10:09
sol updown 5m 1771986900	4	$35	49	0	+49	Down	$-3	02-25 02:39
sol updown 5m 1772459700	6	$32	33	19	+14	Up	$-2	03-02 13:59
sol updown 5m 1772460000	3	$30	40	0	+40	Down	$-1	03-02 14:03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	4	$28	106	106	+0	open	—	07-02 09:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$27	30	30	+0	Yes	$-2	06-09 02:47
sol updown 5m 1771566000	3	$24	29	15	+13	Up	$-2	02-20 05:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$23	114	114	+0	open	—	07-12 04:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 23:55
sol updown 5m 1771817700	2	$21	30	0	+30	Up	$-2	02-23 03:37
sol updown 5m 1771887300	3	$21	34	0	+34	Down	+$13	02-23 22:57
btc updown 5m 1772462700	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 14:49
sol updown 5m 1771565400	1	$20	31	0	+31	Up	+$11	02-20 05:30
sol updown 5m 1771565700	2	$20	30	0	+30	Down	$-9	02-20 05:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$19	34	34	+0	open	—	06-09 02:47
sol updown 5m 1771819200	5	$19	29	16	+12	Down	$-5	02-23 04:04
sol updown 5m 1771819500	1	$19	27	0	+27	Down	+$8	02-23 04:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$17	55	55	+0	No	$-13	07-12 04:13
sol updown 5m 1772462400	3	$15	14	8	+6	Up	+$1	03-02 14:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$14	144	144	+0	open	—	07-17 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 10:09:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xc05b4a…
08-04 18:21:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3216c6…
08-04 17:43:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x93d16a…
08-02 03:50:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xc73e9c…
08-01 01:01:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x6673aa…
08-01 01:01:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x704433…
08-01 00:27:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x50176d…
08-01 00:21:23	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xad7bc3…
08-01 00:21:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0x4d1b95…
07-20 04:40:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0143f4…
07-19 13:22:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x42b41b…
07-18 18:28:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8ebbd7…
07-18 08:14:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe2b69e…
07-18 07:54:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb51850…
07-17 18:59:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0x6f4288…
07-15 13:56:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x1537cf…
07-15 13:10:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x401f86…
07-15 13:07:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x1dcc5f…
07-14 11:54:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x6ed315…
07-14 11:54:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x242d9b…
07-14 04:50:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x70df35…
07-13 02:45:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x026807…
07-12 23:53:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa8ec80…
07-12 16:48:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x235c2b…
07-12 16:38:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x12f945…
07-12 16:38:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x85dc6d…
07-12 11:12:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x02bafb…
07-12 04:57:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xcc8ad4…
07-12 04:13:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	8¢	$6	0xa9c969…
07-12 04:13:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xa5a724…
07-04 13:09:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x78e7d1…
07-03 14:43:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x835438…
07-03 03:19:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xf19738…
07-02 09:39:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x2f6adb…
07-02 09:36:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0xb79c8b…
07-02 09:29:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xdd2a43…
07-02 09:29:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa1e890…
07-02 09:29:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x784009…
07-02 09:29:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xfce9cc…
07-02 09:29:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x0c1522…
07-02 09:29:08	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x8444d2…
07-02 09:29:07	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	106	12¢	$13	0xd24ac6…
06-27 11:14:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x21c837…
06-27 00:07:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x32232a…
06-26 20:09:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x08d2da…
06-26 16:01:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x817ce1…
06-26 10:37:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x957e1e…
06-26 10:36:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xc4c6b9…
06-25 11:36:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	6¢	$4	0xbd7045…
06-25 11:36:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x3fe84d…
06-25 11:36:08	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xe9eb7e…
06-25 11:36:05	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6998ab…
06-25 11:36:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x4f0255…
06-24 12:33:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x285c39…
06-21 15:53:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x519253…
06-21 00:44:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x69cfb3…
06-20 17:36:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xce371d…
06-20 15:55:40	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x254445…
06-20 04:25:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x193972…
06-20 04:07:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xb1554b…
06-20 04:07:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x5d721e…
06-19 15:31:11	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0xa1e9ab…
06-19 05:57:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd64b41…
06-19 05:57:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xceee35…
06-19 02:49:05	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xdd1c4c…
06-18 18:45:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x7ac564…
06-18 13:41:17	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x653a71…
06-17 17:27:38	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x05f1b4…
06-16 16:22:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5789db…
06-16 16:10:58	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x0a62da…
06-16 15:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc5cf13…
06-16 15:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbcfb27…
06-16 15:21:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xa38489…
06-16 15:21:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x82dc85…
06-14 23:55:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xaeac69…
06-14 23:55:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xbd0c98…
06-14 23:17:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xf5d9c7…
06-14 23:17:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x0a9a0e…
06-14 21:27:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x09953b…
06-14 21:18:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xbd1f51…
06-14 10:43:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x34a3c3…
06-13 09:58:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x289705…
06-10 03:29:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xebad16…
06-09 09:03:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x54f47a…
06-09 05:40:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xf92b0a…
06-09 02:47:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x53bb34…
06-09 02:47:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0x56d152…
06-06 07:47:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xa72817…
06-05 20:00:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x3c4642…
06-01 01:49:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2d9eed…
06-01 01:49:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x21d72a…
06-01 01:49:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4be753…
05-26 13:43:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x98b3f9…
05-26 13:43:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x09393d…
05-26 13:42:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6a8afa…
05-26 13:42:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7d5983…
05-26 13:42:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xdb1be1…
03-16 00:58:17	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8d01cd…
03-15 22:40:13	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa03e6d…
03-05 00:17:11	sol updown 5m 1772669700	Down	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x6aa311…