Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$597

Unrealized P&L

-$52

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$4.52K

12 positions

First seen

2026-09-27

last 11-08 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

88% 83% +$565

Other

11% 67% +$24

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+2,240	$2,143	98¢	$2.2K	+$62	11-05 17:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,719	$1,607	98¢	$1.7K	+$86	11-05 17:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+550	$386	68¢	$371	-$14	11-05 10:58
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+80	$69	88¢	$71	+$2	11-07 03:48
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	Yes	+50	$38	97¢	$48	+$11	11-04 20:00
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+50	$41	80¢	$40	-$1	11-07 03:47
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	+121	$60	27¢	$33	-$27	11-07 18:52
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	+30	$27	92¢	$28	+$1	11-08 17:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	+30	$27	91¢	$27	$0	11-08 17:16
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	+5	$1	95¢	$5	+$4	10-29 17:54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+200	$153	2¢	$3	-$150	11-01 00:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	+80	$26	0¢	$0	-$26	11-01 19:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	18	$7.9K	4,200	4,200	+0	No	+$312	10-29 17:54
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	6	$2.3K	2,440	0	+2,440	open	—	11-05 17:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	6	$1.6K	1,719	0	+1,719	open	—	11-05 17:23
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	9	$1.4K	1,404	0	+1,404	No	+$53	11-02 18:49
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	28	$952	506	506	+0	open	—	10-29 17:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$951	700	700	+0	open	—	10-28 06:17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	9	$797	610	210	+400	Yes	+$11	11-03 15:24
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	6	$754	700	100	+600	No	+$41	10-04 20:04
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$600	409	209	+200	No	+$7	11-03 14:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$439	258	258	+0	open	—	10-16 01:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	6	$414	400	175	+225	Yes	+$85	11-04 01:25
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$396	200	200	+0	No	+$4	10-29 17:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	5	$386	550	0	+550	open	—	11-05 10:58
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?	3	$375	200	195	+5	open	—	10-29 17:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$361	450	450	+0	No	-$226	10-27 20:07
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	4	$309	160	160	+0	No	+$9	09-30 17:38
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	3	$288	150	150	+0	Yes	+$8	10-29 17:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$269	300	0	+300	No	+$31	10-16 10:39
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$255	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 21:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	4	$213	300	0	+300	Yes	+$87	11-02 18:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$201	171	171	+0	Yes	+$1	09-30 21:22
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	3	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	11-02 21:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	10-29 17:54
Blue wave in 2026?	3	$182	200	0	+200	Yes	+$18	11-02 22:02
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	3	$178	100	100	+0	No	+$2	10-07 09:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$143	200	0	+200	Yes	+$57	11-02 01:04
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	5	$129	80	80	-0	Yes	+$15	11-04 03:56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$120	65	65	+0	No	+$0	10-29 17:54
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	3	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	10-09 17:30
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$92	56	56	+0	open	—	09-28 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 18:36:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x56be40…
11-08 17:16:36	Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf92b0b…
11-08 17:16:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x6a51fb…
11-08 15:13:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb2d323…
11-08 13:27:40	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x0d50dd…
11-07 18:52:12	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x513a11…
11-07 18:51:51	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbab4ed…
11-07 03:48:57	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x96e216…
11-07 03:47:12	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd4b569…
11-07 01:54:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xba75a0…
11-06 21:44:22	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xac6721…
11-05 17:23:55	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0xd34989…
11-05 17:21:40	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	796	96¢	$766	0x3418e3…
11-05 17:14:28	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	705	96¢	$677	0xcf3ffa…
11-05 16:25:04	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	244	96¢	$234	0x9585b7…
11-05 16:22:45	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	600	95¢	$571	0xf6c04d…
11-05 16:21:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	600	95¢	$571	0xe88e6a…
11-05 16:20:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0x3006ab…
11-05 16:20:25	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x6fccc5…
11-05 10:58:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0x600368…
11-05 10:39:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	70¢	$154	0x581a36…
11-04 22:32:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x7940f1…
11-04 20:00:27	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x601bed…
11-04 18:52:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xaeea04…
11-04 18:32:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x509fb9…
11-04 03:56:39	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xeb0f03…
11-04 03:05:31	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb0abbd…
11-04 02:53:13	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x466bb5…
11-04 01:56:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x50317d…
11-04 01:25:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x7993f0…
11-03 18:18:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0d20da…
11-03 15:33:10	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x396cd9…
11-03 15:24:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc89736…
11-03 15:24:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xb35f7b…
11-03 15:24:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3c0bb6…
11-03 15:24:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x194881…
11-03 15:24:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0f61f0…
11-03 15:24:36	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x37e823…
11-03 14:47:03	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3c9986…
11-03 10:33:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xf1f1d1…
11-03 01:47:25	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xcf1210…
11-03 01:31:45	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x1bed87…
11-02 22:38:42	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xaf4bff…
11-02 22:38:16	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x54d001…
11-02 22:02:49	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xbfdb43…
11-02 21:47:40	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe98877…
11-02 21:47:40	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x2d2cbd…
11-02 21:47:37	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x34d468…
11-02 21:16:25	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x945202…
11-02 19:31:55	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x4ccc75…
11-02 19:19:45	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x98faed…
11-02 18:56:25	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x3545da…
11-02 18:55:58	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x3ee5d3…
11-02 18:50:55	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xe546b2…
11-02 18:50:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xe635e8…
11-02 18:49:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x491821…
11-02 18:49:21	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x7a32b2…
11-02 18:13:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xafb895…
11-02 17:29:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x363a65…
11-02 14:39:15	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	83¢	$36	0x45f905…
11-02 11:54:58	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7bb1e0…
11-02 04:44:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x6c5c60…
11-02 03:42:10	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xd9de75…
11-02 03:41:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x8581fa…
11-02 01:04:22	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xebdad0…
11-02 01:00:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xadce92…
11-02 00:07:04	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xcf09c0…
11-01 22:01:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x4a4107…
11-01 21:33:43	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc7270f…
11-01 21:30:52	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x763197…
11-01 21:28:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xbc6993…
11-01 20:48:30	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x42f97e…
11-01 20:27:10	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x7ffa07…
11-01 20:17:57	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0x748228…
11-01 20:14:15	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x7739bf…
11-01 20:14:13	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x2f1f87…
11-01 20:12:52	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0xfa8bbb…
11-01 20:08:25	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xa43f7b…
11-01 20:04:55	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x35eb6a…
11-01 19:51:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbd6c8a…
11-01 19:50:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xcc47a3…
11-01 19:45:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa82dba…
11-01 19:45:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x619389…
11-01 19:43:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x4d2d56…
11-01 19:41:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x670665…
11-01 19:41:13	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x9a7eec…
11-01 19:40:27	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x80b03f…
11-01 19:39:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xebf253…
11-01 19:33:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x5acf8f…
11-01 19:32:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa69cee…
11-01 19:31:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x6add54…
11-01 19:29:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc7b182…
11-01 00:31:30	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xa4259f…
10-31 18:33:57	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf9f562…
10-31 18:13:54	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x22523a…
10-31 16:50:15	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x221652…
10-31 16:16:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x71e730…
10-29 17:54:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x7727d8…
10-29 17:54:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0x724eae…
10-29 17:54:26	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x40a355…