Realized P&L
-$64
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
188
Trades
406
lifetime
Volume
$3.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$378
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-09 07:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
52% 74% -$91
Other
45% 69% +$29
Sports
3% 72% -$1
Tech
0% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +105 $84 83¢ $87 +$3 09-20 11:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +72 $53 92¢ $66 +$13 10-09 07:05
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +65 $60 97¢ $63 +$3 07-05 17:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -26 -$26 99¢ $-26 $0 08-14 16:01
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +23 $20 96¢ $22 +$2 07-10 11:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +22 $19 94¢ $20 +$1 10-09 07:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 06-08 20:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +21 $19 87¢ $18 -$1 08-14 15:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 06-30 22:08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +18 $14 81¢ $14 +$0 07-19 15:32
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 09-20 11:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 09-20 11:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $2 96¢ $5 +$3 07-24 21:56
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $0 10-09 07:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -0 $12 19¢ $-0 -$12 07-24 21:52