(anonymous) 0x0bef2b…0d3b06
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$970
Unrealized P&L
-$1.93K
Hit rate
18.7%
Resolved (7d)
15
Trades (7d)
698
5,344 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$232.9K
$1.21M lifetime
Avg / trade
$227
Open exposure
$9.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-28 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
47% 15% -$6,935
Politics
43% 19% -$1,531
Tech
9% 14% -$401
Crypto
1% 0% -$9
Sports
1% 50% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,193 $4,033 39¢ $3.6K -$466 10-25 17:40
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +4,942 $3,665 66¢ $3.3K -$403 10-26 19:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,199 $1,352 84¢ $1.0K -$351 10-19 10:00
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +764 $627 76¢ $585 -$42 10-26 03:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +852 $460 42¢ $354 -$107 10-28 17:07
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,319 $509 10¢ $315 -$194 10-22 07:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +938 $216 23¢ $214 -$2 10-28 21:58
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +619 $260 33¢ $204 -$56 10-11 05:29
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +401 $156 35¢ $140 -$16 10-28 18:48
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +57 $20 34¢ $19 -$1 10-28 22:16
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +0 $117 100¢ $0 -$117 08-28 04:01
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 10-17 09:15
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 10-07 16:01
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 09-29 18:54
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +0 $1 78¢ $0 -$1 10-28 16:19
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $0 74¢ $0 $0 10-10 13:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 10-26 22:25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +0 $11 68¢ $0 -$11 10-22 02:13
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-09 01:38
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-26 21:52
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$24 98¢ $0 +$24 09-29 17:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 -$1 85¢ $0 +$1 10-22 15:34
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 62¢ $0 +$0 10-02 00:24
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +0 $190 80¢ $0 -$190 10-27 20:28
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +0 $0 77¢ $0 $0 10-28 16:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-17 18:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 09-11 11:06
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +0 $4 84¢ $0 -$4 10-10 09:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +0 $0 66¢ $0 $0 10-23 09:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 22¢ $0 $0 10-26 02:37