(anonymous) 0x0bef2b…0d3b06
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.82K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.85K
Hit rate
29.9%
Resolved
362
Trades
5,574
lifetime
Volume
$1.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$231
Open exposure
$19.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-30 14:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
48% 15% -$6,935
Politics
43% 19% -$1,533
Tech
8% 14% -$401
Crypto
1% 0% -$9
Sports
0% 50% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,820 $5,318 68¢ $5.3K -$39 10-30 15:30
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +5,658 $4,130 71¢ $4.0K -$113 10-30 12:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,193 $4,033 40¢ $3.6K -$402 10-25 17:40
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +4,942 $3,665 68¢ $3.3K -$329 10-26 19:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,199 $1,352 82¢ $977 -$375 10-19 10:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +754 $460 61¢ $460 $0 10-30 15:15
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +544 $446 80¢ $438 -$8 10-30 10:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +462 $406 81¢ $374 -$32 10-29 10:00
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,319 $509 11¢ $348 -$161 10-22 07:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +852 $460 32¢ $269 -$192 10-28 17:07
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +305 $173 54¢ $163 -$10 10-30 11:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +363 $142 36¢ $131 -$11 10-29 17:02
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +461 $95 5¢ $23 -$71 10-29 01:02
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +0 $117 100¢ $0 -$117 08-28 04:01
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 10-17 09:15
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +0 $1 82¢ $0 -$1 10-28 16:19
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 09-29 18:54
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $0 72¢ $0 $0 10-10 13:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$0 10-26 22:25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +0 $11 70¢ $0 -$11 10-22 02:13
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-09 01:38
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-26 21:52
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$24 99¢ $0 +$24 09-29 17:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 -$1 84¢ $0 +$1 10-22 15:34
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 10-02 00:24
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 10-28 16:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-17 18:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 28¢ $0 +$0 10-26 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 09-11 11:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$0 10-23 09:14