(anonymous) 0x0bef2b…0d3b06
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$7.28K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.87K
Hit rate
29.9%
Resolved (90d)
169
Trades (90d)
3,867
5,391 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.09M
$1.14M lifetime
Avg / trade
$212
Open exposure
$9.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-30 10:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
48% 15% -$6,935
Politics
42% 19% -$1,533
Tech
8% 14% -$401
Crypto
1% 0% -$9
Sports
0% 50% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,193 $4,033 40¢ $3.6K -$392 10-25 17:40
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +4,942 $3,665 64¢ $3.2K -$502 10-26 19:49
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +1,199 $1,352 84¢ $1.0K -$351 10-19 10:00
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +544 $446 80¢ $438 -$8 10-30 10:30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +462 $406 80¢ $369 -$37 10-29 10:00
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,319 $509 11¢ $348 -$161 10-22 07:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +852 $460 30¢ $260 -$200 10-28 17:07
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +355 $200 47¢ $167 -$33 10-29 17:45
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +363 $142 36¢ $133 -$9 10-29 17:02
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +461 $95 5¢ $23 -$71 10-29 01:02
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +0 $117 100¢ $0 -$117 08-28 04:01
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 10-17 09:15
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 10-07 16:01
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 10-10 13:48
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +0 $1 82¢ $0 -$1 10-28 16:19
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 09-29 18:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$0 10-26 22:25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +0 $11 70¢ $0 -$11 10-22 02:13
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-09 01:38
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-26 21:52
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$24 98¢ $0 +$24 09-29 17:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 -$1 84¢ $0 +$1 10-22 15:34
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 67¢ $0 +$0 10-02 00:24
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 10-28 16:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-17 18:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 28¢ $0 +$0 10-26 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 09-11 11:06
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +0 $4 88¢ $0 -$4 10-10 09:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$0 10-23 09:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$1 95¢ $0 +$2 10-22 06:31