Dapper-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$52

Unrealized P&L

-$181

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

144 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.65K

$30.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$214

Open exposure

$2.14K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-15 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

44% 63% -$1,439

Politics

34% 78% -$35

Crypto

19% 80% -$43

Sports

3% 83% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-895	-$717	92¢	$-819	-$101	07-06 21:13
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,100	$644	68¢	$742	+$98	08-11 23:50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-184	-$164	97¢	$-178	-$15	06-08 22:13
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-176	-$157	97¢	$-171	-$14	05-30 21:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,050	$251	12¢	$128	-$124	06-15 09:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	-110	-$76	92¢	$-101	-$25	06-08 22:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	1,527	1,527	+0	No	+$15	02-12 22:28
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	7	$2.5K	1,284	1,284	+0	No	+$16	03-20 05:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$12	04-04 09:25
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	2	$1.8K	924	924	+0	No	+$1	02-19 03:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$1.2K	4,452	4,452	+0	No	-$33	03-20 03:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$1.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	08-13 00:12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	400	1,295	-895	open	—	07-06 21:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$1.2K	631	631	+0	open	—	08-12 03:11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$1.2K	615	615	+0	open	—	08-08 07:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.1K	35,922	35,922	+0	No	-$250	02-13 04:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$1.1K	2,800	1,750	+1,050	open	—	06-15 09:40
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$8	02-24 12:05
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	3	$740	500	250	+250	No	+$4	05-23 21:55
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$738	12,802	12,802	+0	No	-$62	01-13 02:01
will benjamin netanyahu attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	02-24 12:10
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$698	457	457	+0	Yes	-$34	04-25 04:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$696	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-20 00:45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$654	550	550	+0	open	—	06-08 22:06
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$644	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	08-11 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$597	345	345	+0	open	—	06-22 23:33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$580	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$4	06-10 09:39
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	5	$521	465	465	+0	Yes	-$87	03-14 01:53
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$481	1,985	1,985	+0	Yes	-$184	02-24 12:05
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$419	444	207	+238	Yes	-$588	01-03 04:10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	2	$407	218	218	+0	open	—	06-08 22:13
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january	1	$393	395	0	+395	No	+$2	01-28 21:28
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	04-18 04:00
will gavin newsom attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	02-24 12:11
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	2	$276	139	249	-110	open	—	06-08 22:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$256	0	324	-324	Yes	-$68	05-17 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 17:50:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x9d911b…
09-15 17:50:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x6cc85a…
08-13 00:12:51	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,099	56¢	$615	0xf1fddb…
08-12 03:11:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	315	96¢	$301	0xaa3924…
08-11 23:50:04	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x0bc5b7…
08-11 23:50:03	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xef789e…
08-11 23:50:01	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xd94185…
08-11 16:45:34	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	220	58¢	$128	0x034725…
08-11 14:21:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	175	95¢	$167	0xbbf9b2…
08-11 14:11:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0xe3b0e5…
08-11 13:54:52	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x322bd9…
08-08 07:49:00	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	154	98¢	$151	0x609e71…
08-06 16:03:48	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	754	57¢	$429	0xffa676…
08-06 16:03:41	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	344	57¢	$195	0xdd387a…
08-06 16:03:00	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	461	98¢	$451	0xc507cc…
07-25 13:04:07	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	615	98¢	$600	0x150732…
07-06 21:16:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xac8364…
07-06 21:15:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0xaec07c…
07-06 21:13:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	631	95¢	$600	0xb865d5…
07-06 21:13:23	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	324	89¢	$288	0x56320d…
07-06 21:13:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x968604…
07-01 11:47:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xa29e11…
06-27 23:21:02	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xd73885…
06-27 23:20:02	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd67b43…
06-27 23:19:22	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xedc147…
06-27 23:19:01	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x0d3671…
06-27 23:18:43	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xea22f6…
06-27 23:18:35	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x211015…
06-22 23:37:26	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xfe58db…
06-22 23:37:14	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x76550a…
06-22 23:36:53	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x3ffd77…
06-22 23:36:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf60420…
06-22 23:34:35	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x5b67ac…
06-22 23:33:47	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0x3f2f7c…
06-22 23:33:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	345	86¢	$297	0xda66d9…
06-20 00:48:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9c677e…
06-20 00:48:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x1bfae5…
06-20 00:48:19	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa2aa04…
06-20 00:47:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0x2107c7…
06-20 00:47:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	245	92¢	$225	0x289953…
06-20 00:45:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	864	28¢	$239	0x60a0ae…
06-15 09:40:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,050	25¢	$262	0xb8c794…
06-15 01:15:54	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8c8632…
06-15 01:15:15	UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)	Bo Nickal	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3a8fc4…
06-13 01:17:01	SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x117249…
06-10 09:39:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,800	16¢	$292	0xa5956a…
06-09 01:43:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x8478d1…
06-08 23:30:21	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	255	25¢	$63	0x0ed141…
06-08 23:23:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	85	25¢	$21	0xe0e11f…
06-08 22:16:52	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0x721e81…
06-08 22:16:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,800	16¢	$288	0x6eef4a…
06-08 22:13:57	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	218	95¢	$207	0xba9cfc…
06-08 22:13:45	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	184	89¢	$164	0x992462…
06-08 22:13:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	336	26¢	$87	0x9e4ab1…
06-08 22:08:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,800	24¢	$686	0x4820fc…
06-08 22:06:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	550	72¢	$396	0x927f3e…
06-08 22:06:01	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	249	70¢	$176	0x2e279d…
06-04 19:39:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,200	31¢	$369	0x253c2e…
06-01 16:43:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	52¢	$73	0x447b13…
06-01 16:39:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x238e63…
06-01 16:37:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0xc29cb7…
06-01 14:06:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	971	71¢	$689	0xc6610f…
05-30 21:17:29	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	176	89¢	$157	0xced58a…
05-25 06:32:56	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0xd68fdb…
05-25 06:32:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xbe325f…
05-24 23:18:09	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x957b7c…
05-23 21:55:47	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$246	0x63dafa…
05-17 03:05:29	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	324	79¢	$256	0x31ef8a…
05-17 02:37:36	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0xa5cf16…
05-07 19:01:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	428	99¢	$422	0xa9ccff…
05-07 10:42:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xd075e2…
05-07 01:49:33	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x5a352f…
04-25 04:32:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	457	73¢	$332	0x0bd1d1…
04-18 04:00:38	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xb2e9e8…
04-18 04:00:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xb1ef38…
04-04 09:29:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x281443…
04-04 09:27:47	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0a3325…
04-04 09:25:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xefbd86…
03-27 01:42:59	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0xcfb444…
03-22 08:07:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	714	99¢	$705	0x3be843…
03-22 08:07:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xccd951…
03-22 04:48:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0e0a4f…
03-22 04:44:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	196	99¢	$193	0xa341c2…
03-20 05:51:11	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x5d2eae…
03-20 05:40:03	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x200b4e…
03-20 03:21:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x152a9e…
03-20 03:13:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x65a219…
03-20 03:12:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdac223…
03-20 03:12:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$100	0x6805de…
03-20 03:11:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x6f4fa9…
03-20 03:10:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$101	0x7ad941…
03-20 03:10:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x3889f9…
03-20 02:34:59	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcc23ac…
03-19 23:59:19	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xadcc76…
03-19 22:02:57	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0xc80342…
03-14 03:22:11	bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x22751e…
03-14 01:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x36e3fb…
03-14 01:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x537f78…
03-14 01:56:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x1afc40…
03-14 01:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xc8e111…