Realized P&L (7d)
-$54
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved (7d)
175
Trades (7d)
328
9,448 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.67K
$122.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$399
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-01 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
58% 50% -$901
Sports
36% 40% -$1,414
Politics
5% 49% -$74
Crypto
0% 33% -$140
Tech
0% 43% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$145 84¢ $-167 -$22 07-27 06:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -100 -$86 97¢ $-97 -$11 05-17 19:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +38 $25 72¢ $27 +$2 10-28 06:13
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +33 $25 76¢ $25 $0 11-01 03:57
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +36 $25 68¢ $25 +$0 10-10 10:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +24 $22 94¢ $23 +$1 10-25 23:40
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +6 $4 90¢ $6 +$1 08-01 02:07
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +457 $4 1¢ $5 +$2 10-15 03:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $4 87¢ $5 +$1 08-01 02:39
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 11-01 03:55
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 11-01 03:56
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $0 10-30 22:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8 $2 28¢ $2 $0 10-27 23:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +14 $2 12¢ $2 -$1 10-17 03:39
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No +7 $2 5¢ $0 -$1 08-01 09:37